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Archive for September 18th, 2010

Here It Comes? (9/18 Real Estate Edition)

 

Just a few days ago I wrote on this case:

WaMu/JPM tried to evict someone (foreclose) when they not only didn’t own the mortgage at the time, they NEVER owned it!

And the last paragraph was…..

Have we had BANKS that have taken title to homes in this fashion when they never owned the note, and thus they now have literally stolen via fraudulent legal process property that actually belongs to someone else?

NOW we have this from Naked Capitalism:

In the event that the loan goes into foreclosure at a later date, the then-current owner of the loan files the foreclosure and sells the property to a new owner, often at auction. The land records would show a deed of transfer from the investment bank to the new owner. This creates a break in the chain of ownership of the mortgage rights. In many cases, the transfer of ownership of the mortgage loan has gone from the original lender, through several owners, and then to the foreclosing bank, none of which is recorded on the property title history. Technically, the foreclosing bank has no recorded title rights to foreclose in the first place

Oh, and the banks know it too.  Here’s the cute part:

With the Wells Fargo addendum, even if the bank has sold you the equivalent of an empty box, you have no recourse to Wells. Zero. Zip. Nada.

Now I’m gonna lay forward something that’s very, very dark.

And if it’s true, it both explains the “addendum” and how it is that we have had a property meltdown, yet at least in the conforming and ALT-A space the MBS holders have not been filing for acceleration, nor for fraud, nor have they been hosed, nor have the banks been forced to take the marks against the loans that have hard defaulted – that is, for which there is no possibility of cure as they have been foreclosed upon and resold!

For a year now I’ve been trying to figure out how the flows work here, and locate them. I’ve been unsuccessful.  But until the case I cited in the above Ticker, I couldn’t figure out what I was missing.

Now please note folks:

This is a theory, for which I cannot currently provide closure and certainty on.  So don’t “take this to the bank” – but do take it as a possible explanation, and if it’s happening, the fraud being perpetrated is so dark, and so pervasive, as to literally blow all of the major institutions involved straight to Mars.

When a loan was made during the “go-go” years it was typically funded via a warehouse line somewhere.  Some lenders had their own, some funded via the FHLB banks (e.g. Countrywide), some funded via warehouse lines from the major banks such as WaMu, JPM, Citi and Bank of America.

These loans were then bundled up.  Some were sold to Fannie and Freddie, some (the non-conforming ones) were not.  But all were then packaged into securities, tranched and sold off.

So far we all “get it.”

Well, someone has to service those loans.  And here the major banks all got their fingers in the pie. 

A “servicer” is simply the guy who takes your payment every month and distributes it to the MBS holders as provided for in the master trust agreement that governs the MBS you bought.  That agreement specifies who eats what if things don’t perform, how loans can be modified and if they can, and so on.

Normally, when everything is going well, being a servicer is a license to print money, because the servicer gets to deduct a small piece (a few basis points) from every payment.

But when things go poorly, the servicer can either make money or lose it – and the losses can be material.

See, the servicer is supposed to advance the payments to the MBS holders.  In order for him to not have that obligation he must declare a given loan as impaired and “doubtful.”  As counterbalance to this potential millstone (he might be wrong about his declaration that the impairment is unlikely to be permanent) he gets to keep fees and costs (e.g. late fees, etc.)

So now let’s presume that we have a bunch of people living in homes where they have not made payments for a long time – a year or more, sometimes two.  And let’s further presume that these loans are not marked on the books at their recovery value, because doing so causes the trust to violate covenants and the losses then flow through to the MBS holders, or even worse, that event might trigger acceleration clauses and/or Credit Default Swaps (CDS) written against them – sometimes by the originating bank, as was the case with Wachovia’s “Pick-A-Pays” (said CDS are now at Wells and apparently hidden off balance sheet!)

We know #1 is happening.  We can presume #2 is happening because many of these people who have been living “rent and payment free” for a year or more have yet to have their loans reported as delinquent to the credit bureaus.  There is no reason not to report a loan as delinquent that is in fact delinquent except to hide the true status from outside third parties.

Ok, so if #1 and #2 are happening, where is the servicer getting the money to advance to the MBS holders from, if they’re not being paid?

This should all be on someone’s balance sheet and cash flow statement.  That is, I should be able to look at Fannie, Freddie, and the servicer’s 10Qs and 10Ks and find flows that (roughly) correspond to the delinquent loans out there, especially for those loans held by the GSEs, on which allegedly there has been no deficiency or default on any of the MBS payments.

Well, if someone can show me those flows on a balance sheet I’d like to see a reasonably-full accounting of it, because I’ve not been able to find anything that approximates what has to match what we’ve all been told is going on in terms of who’s not paying and in what quantity and amount, especially when one takes into account the sale prices for actual resales in the bubble states where haircuts have often exceeded 50%.

So let’s retreat into the dark a bit.

Let’s say that Frobozz Bank is a servicer for Joe’s GSE and Massage Parlor.  Let’s further presume that Frobozz was involved in making some of the loans that Joe’s GSE bought. 

Frobozz, as a servicer, comes into a courtroom and prosecutes a foreclosure against Jane and John Doe.  Jane and John took out a $300,000 mortgage, haven’t been making their payments, and they know damn well they’re going to eventually get kicked out of their house.  A year goes by and finally a Lis Pendens is filed and, ultimately, the case is heard.

Sir Judge-A-Lot behind the bench is hearing 100 of these damn things a day. The “defendants” don’t show up, because they know they’re hosed anyway – they haven’t been paying.  With nobody on the other side of the counsel table in the courtroom the judge looks at the filing, sees an affidavit that says that Frobozz owns the mortgage, rubber-stamps it and bangs his gavel - done.

Ok, now Frobozz has title to a house!

Or do they?

Well, the judgment says they do even though the original loan either wasn’t theirs ever or they were paid in full when it was sold into the trust and thus have no standing.

Nonetheless, they have a judgment and an alleged deed.  So they go market it.  The house gets listed with Jack’s Auctions, who promptly sells it for $150,000, plus a 5% buyer’s premium. 

Frobozz now has $150,000 but the MBS trust still has an open deed of trust or a lien on the old one, neither of which has been satisfied!

Who gets the money from Frobozz’s “successful” auction?

Well now that’s a good question, isn’t it?  And it’s one that’s unresolved.

We could resolve this if, in point of fact, Joe’s GSE files a release on the lien at the county and a transfer to Frobozz, in which case we have a complete chain of title and no problem.

But see, there’s a problem here – if we were seeing that happen then there would be no reason for the “addendum” that is being proffered with these sales, nor would there be cases in which Frobozz is being slung against the wall for bringing a fraudulent foreclosure action without standing, as they would have come to court with a valid assignment in hand for which they paid good money, and there would be a recorded transfer and release from Joe’s GSE to that effect at the county!  Nor would it make sense for a law firm to participate in bringing these cases and risking their law license for what amounts to filling in a few blanks and standing in a courtroom for 15 minutes – small-ball for them too in terms of the money made for the risk taken, even though the volume is good.

Now I’m sure there will be those out there in the bankster community who will call all of this “highly speculative” or worse. 

Fine.  Maybe they’re right and this is nothing other than sloppy procedure.

Then show me the flows that explain how all of these GSE and non-agency MBSs that haven’t defaulted are being covered – where’s the money coming from and going to, including the impoundment for the eventual payment of principal on the MBS when it matures.

Explain to me why we have people who haven’t made a payment for a year or more and yet their loan is not reported as delinquent with the credit bureaus and they’re still in “their” house.

Explain to me why you’re coming into court to file foreclosure actions without a valid transfer of the interest in the property in hand, for which you can document consideration, and which was recorded at the county with documentation stamps paid.

And finally, explain why Wells is proffering an addendum to the sale contract for these “foreclosure resales” in which the buyer is agreeing to release Wells if, in point of fact, they have no marketable title at the time they allegedly conveyed itIn other words, explain to me why a bank is putting in front of someone a paper that says that if they paid $100,000+ for an empty box that’s just tough bananas - for the buyer – and Wells gets to keep the $100k!

Folks, if this what I sniffed out in the other Ticker is in fact what’s going on we are not talking about “small ball.”

In August alone nearly 100,000 homes were repossessed.  This is claimed to be up 25% since last year.  Therefore, we are talking about over a million homes potentially involved here.

If the average amount of money involved is $200,000 (a wild guess and probably low, given the mix of foreclosures by state and locale) then the amount of money involved in the last year alone is close to $200 billion.

If – and I stress if – this is going on then by far this is the biggest rip-off during this entire sordid financial mess.

With Treasury having allegedly “guaranteed” all GSE losses through the end of next year should this be discovered to be factual the taxpayer will have literally had roughly half a trillion dollars stolen from him and a couple million homes with questionable at best title work. 

Since there is no possible way the taxpayers will sit for all these new homeowners being evicted by the GSEs the taxpayers will be once again forced by what amounts to financial extortion-at-gunpoint to eat this abuse.

Since it seems to be impossible to get an indictment sworn against a banker or bank itself no matter what they do, including being involved in ripping off taxpayers in Jefferson County, funneling money to drug dealers in Mexico or diverting funds to Iran these institutions are likely to – once again – walk off with at worst a hand-slap – and all the money.

We deserve answers here folks.  There is no reason for a bank handling a foreclosure resale demanding “at the last second” (literally, at the closing table) a release from title defects they in fact were responsible for causing through the processing and handling of the original loan that went into default and occasioned the foreclosure and resale.  A claimed defense of “well the title might have been clouded before we got it” doesn’t wash as no MBS structure would knowingly take deeds and mortgages for which there was no adequate lender’s title insurance and a clean chain of assignment up to the point that the previous loan that went into default was made.

This whole thing stinks like dead fish, and what’s worse is that despite a year’s worth of combing through various financial filings I can’t make the flows balance.  Now maybe I’m missing something obvious, and I’ll freely admit that I’m no forensic accountant, but I’ve read a few balance sheets and cash flow statements in my years (comes with having run a company and being an active investor.)

We, FAFSA, Congress and the GSEs need answers to these questions.  And if a scam of this magnitude is being perpetrated we not only need answers, we need to know who’s involved in it, who was complicit in it, and who needs to be held to account – as far up the line as it goes.

And this time, if there’s anything to this, we CANNOT accept ANYTHING LESS than full criminal prosecution on each and every count, along with revocation of corporate charters for the firms and hard prison time for the principals involved.

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Fraud Upon The Court: Finally

 

Hoh hoh hoh

Pocopanni Order Dismissing With Prejudice

You have to love this….

WaMu/JPM tried to evict someone (foreclose) when they not only didn’t own the mortgage at the time, they NEVER owned it!

The Judge got pissed, and well, go ahead and read the rest.  Note that it appears that the lawyers in the case knowingly filed false pleadings.  That is, they didn’t make a mistake, they intentionally misled the court – and got caught.

Now if she had just sanctioned those jackals……..

Incidentally, this leads to another question, and this one is kinda ugly:

Have we had BANKS that have taken title to homes in this fashion when they never owned the note, and thus they now have literally stolen via fraudulent legal process property that actually belongs to someone else?

That’s an interesting question, isn’t it?

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20 Signs That The Economic Collapse Has Already Begun For One Out Of Every Seven Americans

 

For most Americans, the economic collapse is something that is happening to someone else.  Most of us have become so isolated from each other and so self-involved that unless something is directly affecting us or a close family member than we really don’t feel it.  But even though most of us enjoy a much closer relationship with our television sets than we do with our neighbors at this point, it is quickly becoming undeniable that a fundamental shift is taking place in society.  Perhaps you noticed it when two or three foreclosure signs went up on your street.  Or perhaps it got your attention when that nice fellow down the street lost his job, and he and his family seemingly just disappeared from the neighborhood one day.  The Census Bureau made front page headlines all over the nation this week when they announced that one out of every seven Americans was living in poverty in 2009.  Every single day more Americans are getting sucked out of the middle class and into soul-crushing poverty.   

Unfortunately, most Americans don’t really care because it has not affected them yet.

But this year, millions more Americans will discover that the music has stopped playing and they are left without a seat at the table.

Meanwhile, neither political party has a workable solution.  They just like to point fingers and blame each other.

The Democrats blame Bush for all the poverty and advocate expanding programs for the poor.  Not that there is anything wrong with a safety net.  But the “safety net” was never meant to hold 50 million people on Medicaid and 40 million people on food stamps.  The number of Americans on food stamps has more than doubled since 2007.  So do we just double it again as things get even worse?

The truth is that welfare programs are only short-term solutions.  Unfortunately, the Democrats do not understand this.  What Americans really need are good jobs.

The Republicans are so boneheaded that they don’t even like to talk about poverty because they think it is a “liberal issue”.  Some conservative commentators have even been so brutally cold as to mock the “99ers” (those who have been unemployed so long that even their extended federal benefits have run out).

Instead of showing some compassion and being the party of the American worker (as they should be), the Republicans are often very uncompassionate and they allow the Democrats to be “the party of the poor” by default.

Both political parties need a big wakeup call.  There is a tsunami of poverty sweeping the United States, and somebody better wake up and do something about it.  More handouts will help people get by in the short-term, but there is no way that the federal government can financially support tens of millions more poor Americans.

How long is it going to be before the “safety net” simply collapses under the weight of all this poverty?

The path we are on is not sustainable.

The economy is falling apart, and somebody better wake up and do something before even more Americans find themselves drowning in poverty.

The following are 20 signs that the economic collapse has already begun for one out of every seven Americans…..

#1 The Census Bureau says that 43.6 million Americans are now living in poverty and according to them that is the highest number of poor Americans in 51 years of record-keeping.

#2 In the year 2000, 11.3 percent of Americans were living in poverty.  In 2008, 13.2 percent of Americans were living in poverty.  In 2009, 14.3 percent of Americans were living in poverty.  Needless to say the trend is moving in the wrong direction. 

#3 In 2009 alone, approximately 4 million more Americans joined the ranks of the poor.

#4 According to the Associated Press, experts believe that 2009 saw the largest single year increase in the U.S. poverty rate since the U.S. government began calculating poverty figures back in 1959.

#5 The U.S. poverty rate is now the third worst among the developed nations tracked by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development.

#6 Today the United States has approximately 4 million fewer wage earners than it did in 2007.

#7 Nearly 10 million Americans now receive unemployment insurance, which is almost four times as many as were receiving it in 2007.

#8 U.S. banks repossessed 25 percent more homes in August 2010 than they did in August 2009.

#9 One out of every seven mortgages in the United States was either delinquent or in foreclosure during the first quarter of 2010.

#10 There are now 50.7 million Americans who do not have health insurance.  One trip to the emergency room would be all it would take to bankrupt a significant percentage of them.

#11 More than 50 million Americans are now on Medicaid, the U.S. government health care program designed principally to help the poor.

#12 There are now over 41 million Americans on food stamps.

#13 The number of Americans enrolled in the food stamp program increased a whopping 55 percent from December 2007 to June 2010.

#14 One out of every six Americans is now being served by at least one government anti-poverty program.

#15 California’s poverty rate soared to 15.3 percent in 2009, which was the highest in 11 years.

#16 According to an analysis by Isabel Sawhill and Emily Monea of the Brookings Institution, 10 million more Americans (including 6 million more children) will slip into poverty over the next decade.

#17 According to a recently released Federal Reserve report, Americans experienced a $1.5 trillion loss in combined household net worth in the second quarter of 2010.

#18 Manufacturing employment in the U.S. computer industry is actually lower in 2010 than it was in 1975.

#19 Median U.S. household income is down 5 percent from its peak of more than $52,000 in 1999.

#20 A study recently released by the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College University found that Americans are $6.6 trillion short of what they need for retirement.

How anyone can look at those numbers and think that things are about to “get better” absolutely boggles the mind.

It is time to wake up.

Things are not going to get better.

Things are only going to get worse.

The United States is rapidly becoming a nation where poverty is absolutely rampant.

As poverty continues to spread, crime will not be far behind.

Meanwhile, the international community wants to impose a global tax on us so that they can “redistribute” even more of our wealth around the world.

The following was just reported by CNSNews.com….

A group of 60 nations will meet next week at the United Nations to push for a tax on foreign currency transactions as a way to generate revenue to meet global poverty-reduction goals, including “climate change” mitigation.

Well isn’t that great?  As American descends into poverty, the rest of the world is pushing for a global tax that will drain us of wealth even more.

It is just a tax on foreign currency transactions, but history has taught us that once taxers get their foot in the door they always go for more eventually.

Sadly, it is not just the United Nations that is discussing a global tax.  In fact, the IMF and the World Health Organization have both been very open about the fact that they want to impose global taxes of their own.

Not that we aren’t taxed enough already.  We already pay dozens of different kinds of taxes each year, and 2011 is already being dubbed as “the year of the tax increase“.

But most Americans don’t have any more to give.  Most Americans can barely make it from month to month.  More Americans than ever are slipping into poverty. 

What a mess we have on our hands.

The Economic Collapse

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CPI: Tug-Of-War, And Obama's War On The Working Poor

 

Here’s our “much-vaunted” CPI release:

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased  0.3 percent in August on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau  of Labor Statistics reported today. (Before seasonal adjustment, the all items index increased 0.1 percent for the month.)  Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 1.1 percent before seasonal adjustment.

The table shows food up fractionally (yeah, right), energy down, especially fuel oil (huh?  Not around here!), electricity down (huh – again, not around here!), natural gas up big (almost 4%), used cars up big again (15% over the last 12 months!), medical care supplies up nearly a percent, and transportation and medical services up materially.

The only “standout” number in the report is the one for used vehicles.  Cash for clunkers created insane price inflation in a place where the less-wealthy cannot afford it as this is not a discretionary purchase – transportation expenses.

If you’re an Obama supporter you need to take this one to heart folks: Obama effectively declared war on the lower-working class people in this country with that program, and now the evidence is in.

Contrary to the claims that this was “good for America”, once again the politicians – including most especially President Obama – stuck the corncob in the working man’s rear end.  This, from a President who claims to be for the “working man and woman.”

The only way you can possibly justify that claim given the now-irrefutable evidence is if you’re Barney Frank and like getting screwed.

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Falling off the American Dream treadmill – Real median U.S. household income falls under $50,000. Poverty rate has grown exponentially since 2000, during the housing bubble.

 

The U.S. Census Bureau recently released troubling data on the status of American families.  The first disturbing point was that 43.6 million Americans now fall under the poverty category.  This works out to 1 out of 7 Americans.  The growth has come from many people falling off the middle class treadmill.  While the echoes of recovery blast through Wall Street the grim reality for most people is that there is a greater and greater divide occurring.  The top 1 percent still has significant control over financial resources and wealth disparity is as high as it was during the 1920s.  While many American families wait in lines outside of Wal-Marts so their food assistance debit cards refill to buy food, those calling a recovery are usually those who have been protected via bailouts since the recession started.

The data on poverty is grim and disturbing:

poverty rate chart

Source:  Census

This data takes into full account the deeper blow of the recession.  The supposed recovery is nowhere to be found.  1 out of 7 Americans falls under the poverty line.  This is also reflected in the fact that over 41 million American families are now receiving food assistance, an all time record high.  The 43.6 million data point is hard to comprehend especially in the wealthiest country on the planet.  Yet many more working class Americans are flying off the middle class treadmill and finding that the economy is very unforgiving for those without Wall Street or D.C. connections.  The focus over the last three years has been to give money to banks to lie about their assets on balance sheets and also prop up failing companies who are still failing but allowed management to enrich their small circle of friends.  The unfortunate among us don’t have lobbying dollars or typically a voice yet their numbers are growing.

“Another unfortunate data point in the report shows that the median household income for Americans has now fallen under $50,000.”

real household income census

Source:  Census

The real median household income is now down to $49,777 putting us to levels seen back in the early 1990s adjusting for inflation.  In other words, the vast majority of Americans have lost a decade of real earning power even in the face of a technology bubble and housing bubble.  What is rarely mentioned during bubbles is groups of people make out like bandits amongst the large number of failed enterprises, many of these unscrupulously.  In this case, it happened to be the banks yet no reform has taken place to rectify this financial injustice.  So it should be no surprise that income disparity is only growing larger and larger in a new gilded age.  The American Dream based itself on giving working Americans an avenue to lift up by working hard into the middle class.  Instead, this is now working in reverse and many are being thrown off this path.

If we look at the below chart, the poverty rate has grown exponentially even during the housing bubble starting in 2000:

poverty rate us

If politicians were actually paying any attention or if banks even cared about being financially prudent, they would have realized that Americans on par were getting poorer and poorer.  The veil of debt allowed the illusion of wealth but in reality, our country was getting poorer on an overall basis.  The middle class is shrinking and this is purposeful, targeted, and deliberate.  The current economic structure is setup as a welfare state for banks where a select few have been blessed to not fail.  Yet here we have 43.6 million of our neighbors and fellow Americans being allowed to fail.  What kind of message does that send?

To fall into the poverty category, income levels have to be rather low:

poverty cutoff

A family of 3 would have to have an income of $17,000 or less to make it into this data set.  Yet you have to also think about the 4 out of 10 American workers that work low paying service sector jobs that are only one or two steps above poverty.

Will these people be buying brand new homes going forward?  Will they be buying new automobiles in the next year?  How much are they really contributing to our consumer based economy?  It should be obvious that having a healthy employment base is the most crucial thing in a solid economy.  The Wall Street propaganda wants you to believe all is well because they now have more power to exploit the American worker and steal from the American taxpayer.  The data is obvious but why aren’t Americans angrier at banks?  In the 1930s Great Depression people knew where to direct their anger and it was squarely on Wall Street.  The same has played out this time and there is no bigger sign that real financial changes need to occur or you can expect the gap of poor and rich to grow even more.

My Budget360

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Fed Z1: From Bad To Getting Worse

 

The new Z1 is out….

There’s a lot of mind-numbing figures and facts in here, but a few things stick out like a sore thumb. 

Let’s first start with the graphs, which I have updated.

 

Hmmm….. there’s a bit of a hook in there at the back end.  Where’s that coming from?

 

Oh, that’s not so good.  Business credit is going up again a bit, and of course The Federal Government is pumping new credit like mad – but is no longer simply trying to compensate for de-leveraging, they’re exceeding that.

This is decidedly negative – in fact, it has the potential to lead to an economic death-spiral if the government doesn’t cut this crap out in time.

Some of the other nasties in here are truly stunning.  One of them is the ugly on Households – they lost a net $1.5 trillion in one quarter on their net wealth. 

The 900lb Gorilla in the room is found in real estate.  While we don’t have current numbers on that and won’t (the update is primarily equities) the ugly on the housing side is breathtaking.  From a peak in 2005 of $13.1 trillion in equity in residential real estate, that value has now diminished by approximately half to $6.67 trillion!

Yet outstanding household debt has in fact increased from $11.7 trillion to $13.5 trillion today.

Folks, those who claim that we have “de-levered” are lying.

Not only has the consumer not de-levered but business is actually gearing up – putting the lie to any claim that they have “record cash.”  Well, yes, but they also have record debt, and instead of decreasing leverage levels they’re adding to them.

In short don’t believe the BS about “de-leveraging has occurred and we’re in good shape.”  We most certainly have not de-levered, we most certainly are not in good shape, and the Federal borrowing is what, for the time being, has prevented reality from sticking it’s head under the corner of the tent.

This cannot and will not continue on an indefinite basis.

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