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	<title>FedUpUSA &#187; Birth Death Model</title>
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	<description>Financial-Government-Corporate Corruption &#38; Cronyism</description>
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		<title>Who Ya Gonna Believe? (Unemployment Rises to 9%, U6 15%)</title>
		<link>http://www.fedupusa.org/2011/05/who-ya-gonna-believe-unemployment-rises-to-9-u6-15/</link>
		<comments>http://www.fedupusa.org/2011/05/who-ya-gonna-believe-unemployment-rises-to-9-u6-15/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 May 2011 13:38:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>FedUpUSA</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Birth Death Model]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BLS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economic Crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Job Losses]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jobs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Unemployment]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://fedupusa.org/?p=16093</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[  From the Bureau of Lies and Scams (BLS): Nonfarm payroll employment rose by 244,000 in April, and the unemployment rate edged up to 9.0 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in several service providing industries, manufacturing, and mining. That sounds good.  The unemployment rate edged up as allegedly [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p> </p>
<div>
<p><a href="http://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/empsit.pdf">From the Bureau of Lies and Scams (BLS):</a></p>
<p><span style="font-family: TimesNewRomanPS-BoldMT;"></p>
<blockquote dir="ltr"><p>Nonfarm payroll employment rose by 244,000 in April, and the <span style="font-family: TimesNewRomanPS-BoldMT;">unemployment rate </span><span style="font-family: TimesNewRomanPSMT;">edged up to 9.0 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in several service providing industries, manufacturing, and mining.</span></p></blockquote>
<p dir="ltr">That sounds good.  The unemployment <em>rate</em> edged up as allegedly more people came back into the workforce:</p>
<p dir="ltr"><a title=" by genesis" href="http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?get_gallerynr=1628"><img src="http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?get_gallery=1628" alt="" /></a></p>
<p dir="ltr"><span style="font-family: ArialMT; font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-family: ArialMT; font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-size: small;">Oh, and they revised last month up by 41,000 jobs too.</span></span></span></p>
<p dir="ltr"><span style="font-family: ArialMT; font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-family: ArialMT; font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-size: small;">So what&#8217;s going on with the household data?</span></span></span></p>
<p dir="ltr"><span style="font-family: ArialMT; font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-family: ArialMT; font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-size: small;"><a title="Employment Trends by genesis" href="http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?get_gallerynr=1632"><img src="http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?get_gallery=1632" alt="" /></a></span></span></span></p>
<p dir="ltr"><span style="font-family: ArialMT; font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-family: ArialMT; font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-size: small;">The rate of change remains positive &#8211; but annualized (that is, removing seasonal variations)<em><strong> it is flagging, although remaining in positive territory.</strong></em></span></span></span></p>
<p dir="ltr"><span style="font-family: ArialMT; font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-family: ArialMT; font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-size: small;">The claim in the mainstream media is that &#8220;more people are re-entering the workforce and looking for work.&#8221;  Really?  When why is the &#8220;Not In Labor Force&#8221; number <em><strong>rising</strong>?</em></span></span></span></p>
<p dir="ltr"><span style="font-family: ArialMT; font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-family: ArialMT; font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-size: small;"><a title="NILF ROC by genesis" href="http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?get_gallerynr=1633"><img src="http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?get_gallery=1633" alt="" /></a></span></span></span></p>
<p dir="ltr"><span style="font-family: ArialMT; font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-family: ArialMT; font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-size: small;">and why is the <em><strong>rate</strong></em> (not-in-labor force number as compared against population)<strong> <em>flat</em></strong> and not falling?</span></span></span></p>
<p dir="ltr"><span style="font-family: ArialMT; font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-family: ArialMT; font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-size: small;"><a title="NILF Rate by genesis" href="http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?get_gallerynr=1634"><img src="http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?get_gallery=1634" alt="" /></a></span></span></span></p>
<p dir="ltr">The employment <strong><em>rate</em></strong> of the population is showing the same seasonal bounce we had last year but nothing more &#8211; it&#8217;s bouncing along the bottom:</p>
<p dir="ltr"><a title=" by genesis" href="http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?get_gallerynr=1631"><img src="http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?get_gallery=1631" alt="" /></a></p>
<p dir="ltr"><span style="font-family: ArialMT; font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-family: ArialMT; font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-size: small;">And finally, no, employment <em><strong>in terms of population</strong></em> is not improving.  Here it is folks, and that indicator has now turned down once again.  This indicator, I remind you, is the one that matters in terms of the government being able to actually fund operations via tax collection.  <strong><em>This indicator must be <span style="text-decoration: underline;">positive</span> in order for government funding capacity to improve.</em></strong></span></span></span></p>
<p dir="ltr"><span style="font-family: ArialMT; font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-family: ArialMT; font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-size: small;"><a title="We R Screwed by genesis" href="http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?get_gallerynr=1635"><img src="http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?get_gallery=1635" alt="" /></a></span></span></span></p>
<p dir="ltr"><span style="font-family: ArialMT; font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-family: ArialMT; font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-size: small;">Enjoy the rally today on the hype &#8211; and false hope.</span></span></span></p>
<p dir="ltr"><span style="font-family: TimesNewRomanPS-BoldMT;"><span style="font-family: ArialMT; font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-family: ArialMT; font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-size: small;"><a href="http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?singlepost=2539942" target="_blank">The Market-Ticker</a></span></span></span></span></p>
<p></span></div>
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		<title>824,000 Jobs Will Disappear on February 5th</title>
		<link>http://www.fedupusa.org/2010/02/824000-jobs-will-disappear-on-february-5th/</link>
		<comments>http://www.fedupusa.org/2010/02/824000-jobs-will-disappear-on-february-5th/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 03 Feb 2010 16:09:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>FedUpUSA</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Birth Death Model]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Job Losses]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jobs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Unemployment]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://fedupusa.org/?p=10459</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[  824,000 Jobs Will Disappear on February 5th When the government releases Friday&#8217;s employment report, nearly a million jobs could be erased.  The change won&#8217;t show up in the monthly report.  Rather, the expected drop will show up int he government&#8217;s revised job losses from April 2008 to March 2009, showing the labor market was [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p> </p>
<p><a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/insight/birth-death-model.html">824,000 Jobs Will Disappear on February 5th</a></p>
<p>When the government releases Friday&#8217;s employment report, nearly a million jobs could be erased.  The change won&#8217;t show up in the monthly report.  Rather, the expected drop will show up int he government&#8217;s revised job losses from April 2008 to March 2009, showing the labor market was in much worse shape than we knew at the time:</p>
<p><a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/insight/birth-death-model.html">CLICK HERE FOR FULL REPORT AND CHARTS</a></p>
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