FedUpUSA

Archive for the ‘Dow’ Category

From Dow Jones:

WASHINGTON (Dow Jones)–The U.S. House of Representatives on Wednesday approved a short-term $290 billion extension in the nation’s debt ceiling, delaying a decision until February about a larger increase in the borrowing cap.

The vote comes less than a week after House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (D., Md.) said he intended to seek a $1.8 trillion increase in the ceiling to support federal government borrowing through 2010.

A decision was made to seek the more modest increase after it became clear the larger increase may have failed to win support in the Senate.

The Senate must still take up the two month increase, which it is expected to do next week.

House lawmakers voted by a razor thing margin of 218-214 to pass the borrowing increase. On most major pieces of legislation, 218 votes are required for approval in the House.

Not a single Republican lawmaker voted to support the hike. They argued that increasing the debt ceiling was giving the Democratic majority and the Obama administration a license to spend more money.

The increase in the debt limit raises the total debt the federal government can hold to $12.394 billion from $12.104 billion.

Treasury officials have warned the current cap will shortly be hit, requiring the ceiling to be increased.

Increasing the debt ceiling is largely symbolic as the public debt is the accumulation of past deficits, or money already spent.

But were the U.S. to breach its debt limit, it would default on its obligations, potentially lose its prized top-shelf credit rating and have to pay significantly higher interest to its creditors

Such a scenario, albeit an extremely unlikely one, would have tremendous ramifications for the wider financial markets.

The federal budget deficit reached historic levels of $1.4 trillion in fiscal 2009. Through the first two months of fiscal 2010, the government is on pace to surpass that level.

No sooner did Jeff Merkley announce his opposition to Bernanke ahead of tomorrow’s reconfirmation farce/hearing, than key Republican Senator John McCain said that he was leaning against voting for the the Chairman. McCain said he would favor either former Fed Chief (and apparently only sane economist in the Administration) Paul Volcker, or ex-Treasury official, and creator of negative implied interest rates, John Taylor.

Some more from Dow Jones:

McCain joins at least two other Republicans who plan to oppose Bernanke’s renomination. Sen. Bernie Sanders (I., Vt.) has also said he opposes Bernanke’s renomination.Despite this, Bernanke is widely expected to be approved by the Senate for a second term. The Senate Banking Committee is scheduled to hold a confirmation vote on Bernanke Thursday morning.A spokeswoman for the panel said there is no way for a member to delay Thursday’s vote. Other Senate committees, like the Judiciary Committee, allow members to delay a vote by a week.

The logical political implications of this move are material: should Democrats be unable to maintain their majority hold after the upcoming mid-term elections, the populist tide against the Fed will be a substantial pent up force in 2011. How that would shape the org chart of the Fed subsequently is still unknown but it likely would not be in favor of the Man of the Year.

Tomorrow at 10 am the House Oversight Committee will hold a hearing with SEC’s Robert Khuzami (oddly Mary Schapiro, together with Chris Cox, had been scheduled to appear initially, however “in a series of last minute negotiations, members settled on Khuzami”) to discuss what the SEC has already found to be a criminal transaction (and attempted to promptly bury under the rug if only if it weren’t for one Judge Jef Rakoff). Details of the hearing below:

Washington, DC – House Oversight and Government Reform Committee
Chairman Edolphus “Ed” Towns (D-NY) and Domestic Policy Subcommittee
Chairman Dennis Kucinich (D-OH) will convene a joint hearing entitled:
“Bank of America and Merrill Lynch: How Did a Private Deal Turn Into a
Federal Bailout?  Part V?”  The hearing will examine the events
surrounding Bank of America’s acquisition of Merrill Lynch and its
receipt of Federal financial assistance. 

The hearing will
take place at 10:00 a.m. on Friday, December 11, 2009 in room 2154
Rayburn House Office Building.  A webcast of the hearing will be
available on the Committee’s website: http://oversight.house.gov.

As for the actual hearing, Dow Jones presents this advance look of how Dennis Kucinich will approach the interrogation:

[Kucinich] plans to present Khuzami with a financial forecast
that had been prepared by Merrill Lynch a few weeks ahead of the December 2008
shareholder vote on the merger, according to subcommittee documents obtained
by Dow Jones.
The forecast omits projected losses from Merrill Lynch’s illiquid assets for
the month of December and underestimates by almost half the roughly $15
billion after-tax fourth quarter loss, the documents say.
Based on the subcommittee’s investigations, Kucinich says he believes Bank
of America executives were aware of the red flags raised by Merrill Lynch’s
forecast. But that didn’t stop them from presenting the document to their
lawyers at Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz.

Kucinich says Bank of America’s decision not to investigate the Merrill
Lynch document and notify shareholders of any change in expectations amounts
to “an egregious violation of securities laws.”

Referring specifically to the Merrill Lynch forecast, [BofA spokesman Lawrence] Di Rita said, “The
matter of Merrill’s projected fourth-quarter 2008 losses was considered
carefully and the decisions were made in good faith at a time of unprecedented
economic and market upheaval.”

And while committtee chairman Edolphus Towns is allegedly satisfied with BofA’s behavior in the last year, “since it paid the last of its $45 billion debt to taxpayers” even though it does not have the ready sources for this outflow, and even though the deal was merely a front to allow BofA traders to scalp exorbitant bonuses one last time before everything collapses, Judge Rakoff may not share Towns’ utter lack of interest with due process and punsihment of criminal behavior, especially where said criminal behavior has already been proven.

The economy is so hot, that democrats in Congress are now moving with yet another stimulus package, this one for $170 billion, targeting bankrupt states and formerly surging unemployment (Obama has some TV appearances today; the BLS will be back to its previously scheduled job collapse next month). In other news, Japan did approximately 10 such small scale bailouts even as its market proceeded to keep probing new lows over the last two decades, and as reinvested 3x its annual GDP in comparable such one-time boosts to the economy without doing anything to prevent its current deflationary collapse.

From Dow Jones:

Congressional Democrats are moving ahead with a roughly $170 billion package to spur jobs growth and boost emergency  assistance to the unemployed, Democratic congressional aides say.

The two separate bills are taking shape amid an improving jobs picture, but with unemployment still at 10%. U.S. President Barack Obama will deliver a speech Tuesday at the Brookings Institution where he intends to lay out his own ideas for a narrowly targeted jobs bill, which will overlap with  Congress’s intentions but won’t be identical.

Both the administration and Congress will almost certainly pay for part of their program with some of the $115 billion that bailed out banks have repaid to the Treasury Department.

Some more details on Krugman’s wet dream:

The legislation will likely be split in two. The first part, at around $110 billion, would be considered emergency spending. It would again extend unemployment insurance, food stamp increases and a provision in the stimulus bill that subsidizes private-health insurance for the unemployed. This portion will likely be attached to a giant spending bill this month to fund the federal government, and will be added to the already huge U.S. budget deficit.

A second “jobs” bill would cost up to $70 billion, funded by the bank bailout. It would include more money for highway and bridge building, school construction and repair, and water and sewer projects. A second component would be direct aid to state governments cutting back services and raising taxes, moves that are hurting the economic recovery.

Finally, some repaid bailout funds will be lent back to small businesses directly from the Treasury.

Of course, nobody will have the brilliant idea of actually using TARP repayments (before they are needed to bail out the banking system again some time in late 2010) to actually pay back some of the debt which as of a few months ago has been classified as “unmanageable” by everyone including Mr. Bernanke. But why care about the sovereign default in 4-6 years when there are mid-term elections to be worried about. At least in the meantime, the abovementioned Fed Chairman can teach us all we need to know about Fiscal responsibility, courtesy of a completely “apolitical” and transparent Federal Reserve.