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Archive for the ‘Financial Crisis’ Category

Good morning, worker drones: This Week In Mayhem

Good morning, worker drones: This Week in Mayhem

by Project Mayhem

Project Censored releases top censored news stories of 2009, Market Skeptics highlights catastrophic fall in global food production, gold bounces off $1100, Copenhagen succeeds in building global governance framework, Pakistan and Yemen sink further into chaos..



LAST WEEK IN MAYHEM

Project Censored releases list of 25 censored news stories of the past year

* 1. US Congress Sells Out to Wall Street
* 2. US Schools are More Segregated Today than in the 1950s
* 3. Toxic Waste Behind Somali Pirates
* 4. Nuclear Waste Pools in North Carolina
* 5. Europe Blocks US Toxic Products
* 6. Lobbyists Buy Congress
* 7. Obama’s Military Appointments Have Corrupt Past
* 8. Bailed out Banks and America’s Wealthiest Cheat IRS Out of Billions
* 9. US Arms Used for War Crimes in Gaza
* 10. Ecuador Declares Foreign Debt Illegitimate
* 11. Private Corporations Profit from the Occupation of Palestine
* 12. Mysterious Death of Mike Connell—Karl Rove’s Election Thief
* 13. Katrina’s Hidden Race War
* 14. Congress Invested in Defense Contracts
* 15. World Bank’s Carbon Trade Fiasco

http://www.projectcensored.org/top-stories/category/two-thousand-and-ten-book/

2010 Food Crisis for Dummies


The countries that make up two thirds of the world’s agricultural output are experiencing drought conditions.

The following article is HIGHLY recommended for anyone trading in the commodities futures markets or interested in possible future outcomes in 2010.

“If you read any economic, financial, or political analysis for 2010 that doesn’t mention the food shortage looming next year, throw it in the trash, as it is worthless. There is overwhelming, undeniable evidence that the world will run out of food next year. When this happens, the resulting triple digit food inflation will lead panicking central banks around the world to dump their foreign reserves to appreciate their currencies and lower the cost of food imports, causing the collapse of the dollar, the treasury market, derivative markets, and the global financial system. The US will experience economic disintegration.

So far the crisis has been driven by the slow and steady increase in defaults on mortgages and other loans. This is about to change. What will drive the financial crisis in 2010 will be panic about food supplies and the dollar’s plunging value. Things will start moving fast.”

http://www.marketskeptics.com/2009/12/2010-food-crisis-for-dummies.html


Gold bounces off $1100

Gold has bounced off $1100, as expected, but the question  is whether this level will hold.  This is almost impossible to predict…what we do know is that gold is going much higher intermediate-term.  Short-term, we could see pricing pressures on gold until we get a new leg down in the economic crisis and/or war in Central Asia.  Things are heating up around the world, particularly in Yemen and Pakistan.  Regardless, we expect a hard floor for the gold price in the range of $1000-1050.  We will watch carefully for the next two business weeks leading into Jan 1st, as this will involve year-end mark-to-market for gold on many balance sheets so expect volatility.  In terms of the next year (2010) we are expecting a dollar crisis so it would be wise to own gold under such circumstances.

Tarpley – Hyperinflation possible in 2010
http://eclipptv.com/viewVideo.php?video_id=9059

Gerald Celente – 2010 – Prepare for the Worse
http://eclipptv.com/viewVideo.php?video_id=9060


Copenhagen Treaty yields start of Global Governance

The Copenhagen treaty was a success despite the massive scientific scandal; the global bankster-gangsters got precisely what they wanted.  The objective was to establish the framework for a world government, which is often called ‘global governance’ in policy planning circles. The seeds of this were successfully planted.  There were two main accomplishments at Copenhagen:  1) agreement on a global transaction tax on GDP, paid to the World Bank  and 2) agreement on preliminary funding for global governance, conservatively $100bn by 2020 but we believe this number will be much much higher (probably in trillions).

“In 2004, it was less than $300 million. But in 2005, the trade really started to soar, ending the year with $10.8 billion-worth of transactions. A year later, in 2006, the “carbon” market had grown to $31 billion. In 2007, again it more than doubled its turnover, to $64 billion. Last year, it did it again, reaching a colossal $126 billion. By 2020, some estimates suggest the annual value will reach $2 trillion.”

http://eureferendum.blogspot.com/2009/12/protecting-big-carbon.html

“This is the biggest heist in history. As they poured carbon over snow-covered Denmark from their gas-guzzling jets, world leaders were congratulating themselves on securing a deal which will make their backers and financiers a trillion pounds a year. These riches will come from buying and selling permits, the so-called ‘carbon credits’ which allow industry and electricity generators in developed countries to emit carbon dioxide.

The frenzied negotiations we have just seen were never about ‘saving the planet’. They were always about money.”

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-1237235/ANALYSIS-Saved–trillion-pound-trade-carbon.html

Copenhagen accord keeps Big Carbon in business

“The part played at Copenhagen by all the tree-huggers, abetted by the BBC and their media allies, was to keep hysteria over warming at fever pitch while the politicians haggled over the real prize, to keep the Kyoto system in place.

The only tree they were concerned with hugging was the money tree and all the vast political apparatus that now supports it, allowing governments to tax and regulate us into handing over ever more of our money, largely without realising it, every time we drive a car, fly in a plane, pay our electricity bill or carry out any of a vast range of activities that involve the emission of CO2. ”

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/columnists/christopherbooker/6845686/Copenhagen-accord-keeps-Big-Carbon-in-business.html

Saudis rain missiles down on Yemen



Saudi warplanes rain ’1,011 missiles’ on Yemen

“Houthi fighters say Saudi warplanes have fired some 1,011 missiles on the borderline with Yemen where the Shia population is already under heavy state-led and US-aided bombardment. “

http://www.presstv.ir/detail.aspx?id=114162&sectionid=351020206


US air raids kill 63 civilians in Yemen

“Yemen’s Houthi fighters say scores of civilians, including many children, have been killed in US air-raids in the southeast of the war-stricken Arab country.”
http://dprogram.net/2009/12/19/us-air-raids-kill-63-civilians-in-yemen/

Obama Ordered U.S. Military Strike on Yemen Terrorists
“The Yemen attacks by the U.S. military represent a major escalation of the Obama administration’s campaign against al Qaeda.”

http://abcnews.go.com/Blotter/cruise-missiles-strike-yemen/story?id=9375236

Pakistan on brink ;  Obama feigns surprise


Internally displaced Pakistani women and children, aka alQueda

Pakistan continues to deteriorate, as we have been expected since the election of Obama.  There is definitely a new war brewing in the region.  The most likely conflict is either an event justifying going into Pakistan, or an event justifying going into Iran.  In either case, doing so would land us in deep deep trouble, and would escalate into a regional war.  Pakistan is a nuclear-armed country, with ballistic and cruise missiles, and Iran has advanced Russian weaponry.  War in either country would be a big mistake with catastrophic consequences for the world, but our fearless leaders do not seem to care about the people of the world or their lives.  Regardless, the CIA and ISI are doing an excellent job of destabilizing Pakistan, which seems to be the policy objectiive.

Pakistan political crisis deepens

“THE political crisis in Pakistan has deepened after the Government’s anti-corruption agency sought a warrant for the arrest of the country’s Interior Minister.”

http://www.theage.com.au/world/pakistan-in-crisis-as-creeping-coup-unfolds-20091219-l6lf.html

Symptom of a Deeper Malady Pakistan’s Refugee Disaster

In the meantime, with the winter months fast approaching, hundreds of thousands of “unintegrated” refugees who do not find more durable shelter, even as military sweeps continue, could face exposure and starvation. Some aid groups are demanding that the United States pressure Pakistan to respect international humanitarian law and allow independent access to the refugees.

http://uruknet.com/index.php?p=m61206&hd=&size=1&l=e


 

THIS WEEK IN MAYHEM


source: cmegroup

Not much happening this week due to the Christmas holiday. Tuesday brings us the GDP number and existing home sales, Wednesday is new home sales, and Thursday is durable goods orders and jobless claims.  This week we are watching Yemen and Pakistan.

Have a great week and Merry Christmas


Project Mayhem Research (PMR) is a DC/Baltimore-based grassroots think tank dedicated to exposing corruption worldwide. PMR is affiliated with Zerohedge.com, a popular and growing anti-corruption site, through contribution of free articles for the public. Topics include the politics of war and weapons systems, unexpected applications of cybernetics, the growing international surveillance state, global warming ‘deindustrialization’ economics, broad systemic international corruption , in-depth policy analysis of studies from bank and military funded research groups, genetic analysis and surveillance of pandemic influenza, corruption in the international gold market, the power structure and history of the global elite, and analysis of their political objectives expressed through monopolistic international finance capital (read: powerful banks) between now and 2050.

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There Is No Way Out Of This Box

Posted by Karl Denninger

There Is No Way Out Of This Box….

… that does not involve serious pain.

Go ahead folks – tell me how we can simply ignore this.

How we can pretend that the outstanding debt does not have to come back down to reasonable levels.

That these levels are “reasonable” – and that these rates of growth are “reasonable.”

This is the “magic of compounding” writ large – and in a fashion that is going to inflict severe pain on our population – and the longer we wait to deal with it, the worse it will be.

Bernanke, who was at The Fed during Greenspan’s time there, should have used his “education” - his claimed knowledge of economics – to make a lot of noise about this and demand that interest rates NOT be lowered to further encourage more debt-based consumption. 

He did exactly the opposite.

As this decade wore on he should have sounded the alarm on our debt binge in all sectors, especially in the financial and consumer sectors where the growth in indebtedness has been the highest.

He did exactly the opposite.

Since this crisis began, in fact, every single government official who has spoken on the matter has emphasized even more lending, that is, cranking the amount of debt outstanding even higher, and The Federal Government has made good on their intent by, in the last year, spending more than $1.7 trillion dollars they did not have – that is, they borrowed even more.

That “pumping” of credit is why the stock market has “recovered.”  

BUT IT CANNOT AND WILL NOT STAY ”recovered”, because the debt that is outstanding is unsustainable – interest costs are crushing innovation and we are now absolutely reliant on near-zero interest rates lest everything collapse.

How bad is it?

During the same time period that we essentially doubled the debt of households, businesses, the federal government and financial institutions (2000-2009) we added just 40.8% to GDP ($10.129tn to $14.266tn)

You might think it wasn’t as bad from 1990-2000 – we went from $5.846tn to $10.129tn in GDP (a 73% increase) while household debt went from 3.58tn to 6.53tn (an 82% increase) and non-financial corporate debt from 3.768tn to 6.195tn (a 64% increase.)  This looks reasonable.  But financial leverage during that decade went from 2.613tn to 7.521tn, a monstrous 187% increase (!) and government debt from 2.613tn to 7.521tn, also a 187% increase (!), both nearly double the GDP growth rate.

The 1980-1990 years?  GDP expanded from $2.915tn to $5.846tn, a clean double.  Pretty good!  Consumer debt, however, went from $860 billion to $3.58 trillion, a 316% increase.  Non-financial corporate leverage went from $1.387tn to $3.768tn, a 172% increase, the Federal Government went from $668 billion to 2.498tn, a 273% increase and financial leverage went from $526 billion to $2.614tn, a 396% increase.

The path we have chosen for the last 30 years in this country is clear, convincing, and impossible to continue upon

THE MATH DOES NOT LIE.

We have not created GDP growth through final demand procured as a consequence of production – that is, people like you and I working with our hands or minds to produce something, then spending the fruits of that labor to buy the things we want and need.

Instead, we have used financial leverage to present to ourselves and the world a false belief and “visage” of prosperity that in fact did not and does not exist, with the continuation of this charade absolutely dependent on the unending ability to forever take on more and more debt compared to growth in actual economic output.

Let’s just take ONE example of this: Larry Summers, President Obama’s “chief economic advisor”, thought he could outrun the math at Harvard – where he gave approval to enter into complex derivative trades.  They blew up in the school’s face:

The swaps, which assumed that interest rates would rise, proved so toxic that the 373-year-old institution agreed to pay banks a total of almost $1 billion to terminate them. Most of the wrong-way bets were made in 2004, when Lawrence Summers, now President Barack Obama’s economic adviser, led the university. Cranes were recently removed from the construction site of a $1 billion science center that was to be the expansion’s centerpiece, a reminder of Summers’s ambition. The school suspended work on the building last week.

“For nonprofits, this is going to be written up as a case study of what not to do,” said Mark Williams, a finance professor at Boston University, who specializes in risk management and has studied Harvard’s finances. “Harvard throws itself out as a beacon of what to do in higher learning. Clearly, there have been major missteps.”

MISSTEPS?  This is fifth-grade math!  It is willful and intentional ignorance of fundamental and basic mathematics over the last 30 years that is the proximate cause of the mess we are in today – a mess that to this very day none of these jackasses will come out and talk about or have an honest debate over!

These are the so-called “bastions” of higher education - the places where so-called “experts” receive what is claimed to be an “education” in how finance and business work.  If you need an explanation for how our government, regulators and businesses could possibly be so dumb as to make this sort of mistake over the course of three decades you need look no further than the “intelligence” displayed by these institutions. 

That there are actually people – young and old - who pay $40,000 a year or more for this “quality” of education (and they then use that sheepskin to infest business and government alike) simply demonstrates that  PT Barnum was right: There really is a sucker born every minute.

Let me be clear lest anyone misunderstand me: There is no means by which we can return this economy to reasonable forward prosperity except by first deflating the excess debt, even though doing so will cause those who have too much leverage outstanding to fail – that is, go bankrupt – either as consumers or businesses.

We have in fact hit the wall, as I clearly stated had occurred simply from an examination of the math in the middle of 2007.

The facts are in and the math is incontrovertible.

To the politicians of both major political parties: 

You can either deal with reality or have it slap you upside the head in the form of political, economic and civil collapse.

To the people of this nation:

You can either deal with reality and be prepared for the politicians refusing to deal with reality, or you will suffer the consequences of being unprepared when, not if there is political, economic and civil collapse.

Ben Bernanke absolutely must not be reconfirmed.  He has been aware of these figures as a scholar and as a Fed Governor for more than a decade (the tables from which that graph was produced are from The Federal Reserve itself) while absolutely refusing to discuss them in public in an honest and forthright manner. 

What’s worse is that even today Bernanke has refused to take responsibility for his part in intentionally engineering this disaster and allowing it to continue to the point of near-literal insolvency of not only the private sector but government as well!

Our Congress and President absolutely must deal with this reality right now.  Not tomorrow, not next week, not next year or after the elections.  NOW.  “Health Care Reform” is important but this nation will not make it to 2013 when the “new plans” come into effect if actions are not taken NOW to reverse what is going on here.  We can and must address entitlements and health care generally – after we get the immediate situation under control.

It is my belief that our Congress and President WILL NOT deal with this reality, and therefore it is incumbent upon each and every American to be prepared – from this point forward – for the inevitable mathematical consequence of the willful refusal of our Congress and Executive to address the issue of excessive leverage in our business and consumer lending space.

There are many things that Congress and our Executive Branch can do right now to address these issues; among them:

  • The immediate re-instatement of Glass-Steagall and both replacement and enforcement of hard 12:1 leverage limits for both banks and other financial institutions, without exception, loophole or dodge.  Fractional reserve lending is a privilege that must come with strong protections against over-expansion of credit in the system and systemic instability.
  • The immediate withdrawal of excess liquidity from the banking and financial system and the forced marking to the market, recognizing the losses that have occurred already, even though this can (and will) bankrupt many institutions and individuals.  Bankruptcies clear debt and reduce the numbers in the above table.  This must happen, even though those affected will feel economic pain.

     

  • The re-imposition of usury laws; this will stop debt-pyramiding by corporations and individuals.  I suggest a hard cap of 10 or 15% over “Fed Funds” for all loans; if a bank cannot make money with a gross profit margin on funds of 120% (12:1 leverage @ 10% over cost of funds) they are doing something very, very wrong – like lending to people who can’t pay back the money they are lent.
  •  

  • An absolute ban on ”naked” credit-default swaps.  These are gambling instruments to the extent they do not represent an actual insurance policy against an actual insurable risk.  To the extent that they, or any other derivative, represents a legitimate hedge against economic risk we must insist that the instrument be traded on a public exchange with a published bid, offer, last and open interest with a neutral middleman counterparty exactly as is done today for listed options and futures.  This will guarantee nightly mark-to-market accounting and margining for all positions and end the thermonuclear threat these instruments pose to the financial system.

     

  • ALL banking system regulators who oppose any of these positions or who will not swear an oath under criminal sanction to enforce and uphold these operating standards must be relieved of their positions and replaced.  No exceptions.
  • Each and every one of these positions has been brought up by myself in the past in previous Tickers.  We have seen time and time again over the last two and a half years that banking regulators coddle the regulated entities and enable lying, cheating and in many cases outright fraud.

    As our government has fiddled our financial system has burned.  It has not been stabilized by the actions of The Fed and Treasury; rather, it has been made more dangerous and less stable while those who committed evil and knowingly-unsound acts have been allowed to further asset-strip Americans and enrich themselves.

    But irrespective of what people - including Congress, The Administration or even Wall Street want, the math simply can’t be argued with.

    Beware and be prepared America.

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    Extension Of TARP Now Official: TARP Maturity To Suspiciously Coincide With Mid-Term Elections

    Treasury Department Releases Text of Letter from Secretary Geithner
    to Hill Leadership on Administration’s Exit Strategy for TARP

    WASHINGTON – The U.S. Department of the Treasury released the
    text of identical letters sent today from Secretary Tim Geithner to
    Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Senator Harry Reid outlining the
    Administration’s exit strategy for the Troubled Asset Relief Program
    (TARP) established by the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008
    (EESA). The text of the letter to Speaker Pelosi follows.

     

    December 9, 2009

    The Honorable Nancy Pelosi
    Speaker          
    U.S. House of Representatives
    Washington, DC 20515

    Dear Madam Speaker:

    I am writing to update you on the status of the Obama
    Administration’s financial policies, including programs initiated under
    the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) established by the Emergency
    Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 (EESA), the results they have
    achieved, the challenges ahead, and our plan for exiting TARP.

    These policies are working.  When the Obama Administration took
    office, the financial system was extremely fragile and the economy was
    contracting sharply.  The Administration’s financial and economic
    policies have helped to shore up confidence in our financial system. 
    Credit is starting to flow again to consumers and businesses, and the
    economy is growing.  Further, private capital is replacing public
    capital in our major institutions.

    As a result of improved financial conditions and careful stewardship
    of the program, losses on TARP investments are likely to be
    significantly lower than previously expected.  We now expect a positive
    return from the government’s investments in banks.  These banks will
    soon have repaid nearly half of the TARP funds they received.  We also
    expect to recover all but $42 billion of the $364 billion in TARP funds
    disbursed in FY2009.  Further, we plan to use significantly less than
    the full $700 billion in EESA authority.  As a result, we expect that
    TARP will cost taxpayers at least $200 billion less than was projected
    in the August Mid-Session Review of the President’s Budget.

    But significant challenges remain.  Too many American families,
    homeowners, and small businesses still face severe financial pressure. 
    Although the economy is recovering, foreclosures are increasing, and
    unemployment is unacceptably high.  Businesses are still cautious in
    the face of uncertainty about the strength of the recovery, and many
    small businesses face very difficult credit conditions.  Although bank
    lending standards are starting to ease, many categories of bank lending
    continue to contract.  This contraction has hit small businesses very
    hard because they rely heavily on such lending, and do not have the
    ability to substitute credit from securities issuance.  Commercial real
    estate losses also weigh heavily on many small banks, impairing their
    ability to extend new loans.

    Further, the recovery of our financial system remains incomplete. 
    And near-term shocks to that system could undermine the economic
    recovery we have seen to date.

    Exit Strategy for TARP

    Our exit strategy for TARP balances the mandate of EESA to address
    these challenges with the need to exercise fiscal discipline and reduce
    the burden on current and future taxpayers.  There are four broad
    elements to our strategy.

    First, we will continue terminating and winding down many of the
    government programs put in place last fall.  In September, Treasury
    ended its Money Market Fund Guarantee Program, which guaranteed at its
    peak over $3 trillion of assets.  The program incurred no losses, and
    generated $1.2 billion in fees.  The Capital Purchase Program, through
    which the majority of TARP investments in banks have been made, is
    effectively closed.  Before this Administration took office, nearly
    $240 billion in TARP funds had been committed to banks.  Since January
    20, we have committed about $7 billion to banks, much of which went to
    small institutions.  Major U.S. banks subject to the “stress test”
    conducted last spring have raised over $110 billion in high-quality
    capital from the private sector.  And banks will soon have repaid $116
    billion of TARP funds

    Second, we will limit new commitments in 2010 to three areas.

    • We will continue to mitigate foreclosure for responsible American
      homeowners as we take the steps necessary to stabilize our housing
      market.
    • We recently launched initiatives to provide capital to small
      and community banks, which are important sources of credit for small
      businesses.  We are also reserving funds for additional efforts to
      facilitate small business lending.
    • Finally, we may increase our commitment to the Term
      Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility (TALF), which is improving
      securitization markets that facilitate consumer and small business
      loans, as well as commercial mortgage loans.  We expect that increasing
      our commitment to TALF would not result in additional cost to taxpayers.

    Beyond these limited new commitments, we will not use remaining EESA
    funds unless necessary to respond to an immediate and substantial
    threat to the economy stemming from financial instability.  As a nation
    we must maintain capacity to respond to such a threat.  Banks are still
    experiencing significant new credit losses, and the pace of bank
    failures, which tend to lag economic cycles, remains elevated.  At the
    same time, many of the Federal Reserve and FDIC programs that have
    complemented TARP investments are ending.  This creates a financial
    environment in which new shocks could have an outsized effect –
    especially if an adequate financial stability reserve is not
    maintained.  As we wind down many of the government programs launched
    initially to address the crisis, it is imperative that we maintain this
    capacity to respond if financial conditions worsen and threaten our
    economy.  However, before using EESA funds to respond to new financial
    threats, I would consult with the President and Chairman of the Federal
    Reserve Board and submit written notification to the Congress.  This
    capacity will bolster confidence and improve financial stability,
    thereby decreasing the probability that it will need to be used.  This
    is the third element of our exit strategy.

    In order to accomplish these goals, pursuant to Section 120(b) of
    EESA, I certify that I am hereby extending the authority provided under
    the Act to October 3, 2010.
      This extension is necessary to assist
    American families and stabilize financial markets because it will,
    among other things, enable us to continue to implement programs that
    address housing markets and the needs of small businesses, and to
    maintain the capacity to respond to unforeseen threats, as described
    above.

    While we are extending the $700 billion program, we do not expect to
    deploy more than $550 billion. 
    We also expect up to $175 billion in
    repayments by the end of next year, and substantial additional
    repayments thereafter.  The combination of the reduced scale of TARP
    commitments and substantial repayments should allow us to commit
    significant resources to pay down the federal debt over time and slow
    its growth rate.

    Even with this extension, we expect that TARP will cost taxpayers at
    least $200 billion less than was projected in the August Mid-Session
    Review of the President’s Budget, including $25 billion in potential
    costs from new TARP commitments in 2010.  We expect that the vast
    majority of these potential costs would come from mitigating
    foreclosure for responsible American homeowners as we take the steps
    necessary to stabilize our housing market.

    The final element to our exit strategy is how we manage equity
    investments acquired through EESA while protecting taxpayers.  We will
    continue to manage those investments in a commercial manner and seek to
    dispose of them as soon as practicable.  We will exercise our voting
    rights only on core issues such as election of directors, and we will
    not interfere in the day-to-day management of individual companies.  In
    addition, as the steward of taxpayers’ funds, Treasury will continue to
    manage investments in a manner that ensures accountability,
    transparency and oversight.  And we will work with recipients of EESA
    funds and their supervisors to accelerate repayment where appropriate. 
    We want to see the capital base of our financial system return to
    private hands as quickly as possible, while preserving financial
    stability and promoting economic recovery.

    History suggests that exiting prematurely from policies designed to
    contain a financial crisis can significantly prolong an economic
    downturn.  We must not waver in our resolve to ensure the stability of
    the financial system and to support the nascent recovery that the
    Administration and the Congress have worked so hard to achieve. 
    Improvements in the financial performance of EESA programs put us in a
    better position to address the economic and financial challenges many
    Americans still face.  I look forward to continuing to work with you to
    achieve these
    goals.                                                               

    Sincerely,

    Timothy F. Geithner

    Identical copy of this letter sent to:
                The Honorable Harry Reid

    cc:       The Honorable Barney Frank
               The Honorable Spencer Bachus
               The Honorable David Obey
               The Honorable Jerry Lewis

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    Juge Andrew Napolitano Explains Our Monetary System And Why Ben Bernanke Should Not Be Re-Confirmed

    Starting at the 6:00 minute mark, Judge Napolitano explains in very clear terms what happens to your money.

     

    In this segment Judge Napolitano discusses why Ben Bernanke should not be re-confirmed and what Congress has done wrong and what they must do now.

    Share

    Republican On Senate Banking Committee Rumored To Follow Sanders, Place Hold On Bernanke Reconfirmation

    This exciting development from Firedoglake:

    As Ben Bernanke’s confirmation hearing begins in the Senate Banking
    Committee, a source tells FDL News that one Senate staffer and an
    outside source confirmed to him that at least one Republican on the
    committee will also place a hold on the Federal Reserve chairman,
    throwing the process into potential turmoil and giving Chris Dodd a
    difficult series of choices to make.

    Dodd, who just announced his intention to vote for Bernanke’s
    confirmation in the Banking Committee and on the floor of the Senate,
    would be in charge of the decision to honor or ignore that hold. The
    fact that Dodd tried to place a hold on the FISA Amendments Act in
    2007-08, and was generally ignored by Harry Reid, just adds a layer of
    irony to the process.

    The source, speaking on condition of anonymity because of his work
    behind the scenes on the Bernanke confirmation, told me that two
    separate sources assured him that the Republican hold would be made
    public after today’s hearing
    . One staffer said that two Republicans
    would place the hold, while the other said it would just be one. The
    source said that the trans-partisan nature of opposition to Bernanke,
    with a conservative Republican and a socialist independent uniting to
    block the appointment, shows the intensity of the feelings on the
    issue. “It’s great to see everyone come together – Democrats,
    Republicans, progressives and libertarians, against this Federal
    Reserve, which is not federal, and not a reserve, just a group printing
    money and giving it to their buddies,” the source said.

    While most people think that the multiple holds would delay the
    process, it’s unclear whether or not it would succeed. Dodd would
    probably have the discretion to roll over the hold in committee, though
    he may be reluctant to do so, experts in Senate procedure said. Harry
    Reid could also seek cloture on the motion to proceed on Bernanke’s
    nomination on the floor, which would require 60 votes.

    At the very least, this delay and the publicity surrounding
    bipartisan opposition to Bernanke would bring attention to the issue of
    the Federal Reserve and the desire for transparency, like the movement
    to audit the Fed. That provision has already passed in the large
    financial reform bill in the House Financial Services Committee, and Barney Frank said yesterday
    that he didn’t expect any changes to the bill as it passed the House,
    citing the public anger over the issue of transparency. There is
    language on Fed audits in the draft financial reform bill written by
    Sen. Dodd, which also strips the Fed of some of its power, but it is
    not the same as Bernie Sanders’ audit the Fed bill, which has as many
    as 30 cosponsors.

    The source, who has been working on the Federal Reserve issue for
    five years, marveled at how the issue has gained so much new attention
    during the financial crisis. “Up until last year, nobody knew what the
    Fed was. Ron Paul got 5 co-sponsors on his audit bill when he first
    introduced it, and now we have 300.”

    Sen. Dodd’s office has not yet responded with a comment.

    Share

    Senator Sanders To Place 'Hold' On Bernanke Reconfirmation, Chairman Will Need 60 Senate Votes To Override

    Tomorrow’s Bernanke reconfirmation hearing just got more interesting, courtesy of Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who has stated he will put a “hold” on the Bernanke confirmation process, meaning the Senate will need to amass 60 votes in order to override and proceed with the confirmation process. Yet as the NYT notes: “though the Senate has been paralyzed by similar blocking tactics on
    countless other issues, Mr. Bernanke probably has enough support in
    both parties to clear the 60-vote hurdle.” It is time to call your Senators and remind them that at best only 21% of Americans favor Bernanke’s reappointment.

    More from the NYT:

    Senator Bernard Sanders of Vermont, said Wednesday that he would try to block the Senate from confirming Ben S. Bernanke to a second term as chairman of the Federal Reserve.

    The move is unlikely to derail Mr. Bernanke’s reappointment, but it
    could slow the confirmation process and give the Fed’s critics
    additional opportunity to press their case. As a practical matter, it
    means Senate Democratic leaders will have to line up 60 votes in favor
    of Mr. Bernanke rather than a simple majority at a time when the
    Federal Reserve is under increasing populist attacks from lawmakers on
    both the right and the left.

    Mr. Sanders, an independent, is not a member of the Senate Banking
    Committee, but he has frequently accused the Federal Reserve of bailing
    out Wall Street firms and the banking industry at the expense of
    ordinary citizens.

    “In this country, there is profound disgust
    at what happened on Wall Street,” Mr. Sanders said in a telephone
    interview. “People want a new direction and people are asking, where
    was the Fed? How did the Fed allow this to happen, when one of their
    mandates to oversee the safety and soundness of the banking system?”

    Mr.
    Sanders said he would place a “hold” on Mr. Bernanke’s nomination when
    it reaches the Senate floor. Under Senate rules, lawmakers would need
    to amass 60 votes to override Mr. Sanders and proceed with a vote on
    the nomination.

    As pointed out previously, Bernanke is a Bush legacy, yet is somehow supposed to represent Obama’s “change” agenda:

    The Fed chairman was originally appointed by President George W. Bush
    and took over the central bank in February 2006. Despite his Republican
    ties, Mr. Bernanke forged a close working relationship with President Obama and his top economic advisers during the financial crisis.

    And some more potential wild cards in tomorrow’s historing hearing:

    Senator Christopher J. Dodd,
    Democrat of Connecticut and chairman of the banking committee, has said
    Mr. Bernanke was “probably” the best person to lead the Fed because he
    responded valiantly to the financial crisis when it began two years ago.

    But
    Mr. Dodd has also proposed stripping the Federal Reserve of virtually
    all its powers as a banking regulator, and consolidating all the
    federal government’s bank regulatory efforts in a new agency. In an
    Op-Ed article last Sunday in The Washington Post, Mr. Bernanke sharply
    criticized Mr. Dodd’s proposal.

    Senator Richard C. Shelby
    of Alabama, the top Republican on the Senate Banking Committee, has
    also been sharply critical of the Federal Reserve but has not yet said
    how he would vote on Mr. Bernanke’s nomination.

    Even with Zero Hedge polling indicates a mere 11% of our readers would support Bernanke’s reconfirmation, a different poll by Rasmussen finds a comparable result: only 21% favor Bernanke as Chairman.

    And here is a reminder of the confirmation whip count in the Senate Banking Committee:


    Definite no: 2
    Lean no: 3
    No indication: 6
    Lean yes: 7
    Definite yes: 5
    Definite no: 2

    Bernie Sanders (I-VT):

    Senator Bernard Sanders, a Vermont independent who isn’t on the banking committee, said Nov. 29 on ABC television’s “This Week” that he will “absolutely not vote for Mr. Bernanke” and that the Fed chief is “part of the problem.”

    Jim Bunning (R-KY):

    Jim Bunning, the Kentucky Republican who was the only senator to oppose Bernanke’s first nomination in 2005, hasn’t changed his views.

    ‘His job rating would be zero minus F,’ Bunning said in an interview yesterday. ‘He has catered to the big banks, to the Wall Street elitists, to every major money concern in the country and in the world.’

    It is possible that one or both of these Senators will place a “hold” on the nomination.  Such a procedural move would at least delay a vote on Bernake, which would provide opponents of his reconfirmation time to organize.  For more details on what a “hold” is, check Tom Coburn’s website (no one places more holds than Coburn).

    Lean no: 3
    Jim DeMint (R-SC):

    “He’s [Bernanke's] going to face some tough questions because he’s got a lot to answer for,” leading Fed critic Sen. Jim DeMint said through a spokesman. “The Fed’s mission is to guard the value of the dollar and to focus on employment, and right now their track record is looking very poor.”

    Richard Shelby (R-AL):

    Sen. Richard Shelby (R-Ala.), the top Republican on the Banking committee, would not say how he would vote on Bernanke’s nomination, only encouraging reporters to stay tuned for the chairman’s hearing this week.

    “I used to be a big defender of the Fed,” he said, adding he believes the institution has “utterly failed” in its role for regulating financial institutions.”

    David Vitter (R-LA): As a support of auditing the Fed, everything I have heard is that Vitter is a no–and is even possibly willing to put a hold on Bernake.  Still, lacking a public statement to that effect, I won’t put him in the “definite no” category.

    No indication:  6
    Michael Bennet (D-CO):  No word for Bennet one way or the other.  His primary challenger, Andrew Romanoff, might be an interesting way to move Bennet on this one.

    Mike Crapo (R-ID): Praised Bernanke’s nomination in 2005, but no word on where he stands now.

    Herb Kohl (D-WI)

    Three said they’re undecided, including Wisconsin’s Herb Kohl, Jon Tester of Montana and Jeff Merkley of Oregon.

    Kay Baily Hutchinson (R-TX): I can’t find any indication on Hutchison, one way or the other.

    Jeff Merkley:

    Three said they’re undecided, including Wisconsin’s Herb Kohl, Jon Tester of Montana and Jeff Merkley of Oregon.

    Jon Tester:

    Three said they’re undecided, including Wisconsin’s Herb Kohl, Jon Tester of Montana and Jeff Merkley of Oregon.

    Lean Yes:  7
    Robert Bennett (R-UT)

    Utah’s Robert Bennett said he’ll probably vote in favor

    Sherrod Brown (D-OH):

    “He’s been far from perfect,” Senator Sherrod Brown, an Ohio Democrat, said in an interview yesterday. “He was not quick enough responding last year to many of these issues that we care about, particularly in housing. I want him to focus on jobs. But I think he’s generally done a decent job.”

    Tom Carper (D-DE):

    “Sens. Charles Schumer (D-N.Y.), Tom Carper (D-Del.) and Mark Warner (D-Va.) all said they’d wait until hearing from Bernanke.”

    Bob Corker (R-TN)

    Corker noted that he leans toward supporting a second term for the Fed chairman, who was nominated in August to a second term by President Barack Obama, but acknowledged gripes toward the Fed chairman on the left and the right.”

    Chris Dodd (D-CT, chair):

    I’m inclined to be supportive. I think he’s done a far better job in the last couple of years than he did initially.

    Charles Schumer (D-NY):

    Sens. Charles Schumer (D-N.Y.), Tom Carper (D-Del.) and Mark Warner (D-Va.) all said they’d wait until hearing from Bernanke.

    Mark Warner (D-VA): Over email, a spokesman for Mark Warner told me “Senator Warner is inclined to be supportive of Bernanke’s reappointment, but he’s certainly not a fan of expanding the role or the power of the Fed as part of financial re-reg.”

    Definite Yes: 5
    Daniel Akaka (D-HI):  Bloomberg reports Akaka is a yes.

    Evan Bayh (D-IN):  Bayh was the first prominent Democrat to support Bernanke in 2005.  According to Bloomberg, also support him in 2009.

    Judd Gregg (R-NH):

    Judd Gregg, a New Hampshire Republican, said Nov. 20 he will “absolutely” vote for Bernanke.

    Mike Johanns (R-NE):

    Among Republicans, Nebraska’s Mike Johanns said Bernanke “will have my support.

    Tim Johnson (D-SD):

    Sen. Tim Johnson (D-S.D.) — a favorite of Wall Street — told HuffPost that he has decided to vote to confirm Bernanke.

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