Archive for the ‘global warming’ Category
Good morning, worker drones: This Week in Mayhem
by Project Mayhem
Project Censored releases top censored news stories of 2009, Market Skeptics highlights catastrophic fall in global food production, gold bounces off $1100, Copenhagen succeeds in building global governance framework, Pakistan and Yemen sink further into chaos..
LAST WEEK IN MAYHEM
Project Censored releases list of 25 censored news stories of the past year
* 1. US Congress Sells Out to Wall Street
* 2. US Schools are More Segregated Today than in the 1950s
* 3. Toxic Waste Behind Somali Pirates
* 4. Nuclear Waste Pools in North Carolina
* 5. Europe Blocks US Toxic Products
* 6. Lobbyists Buy Congress
* 7. Obama’s Military Appointments Have Corrupt Past
* 8. Bailed out Banks and America’s Wealthiest Cheat IRS Out of Billions
* 9. US Arms Used for War Crimes in Gaza
* 10. Ecuador Declares Foreign Debt Illegitimate
* 11. Private Corporations Profit from the Occupation of Palestine
* 12. Mysterious Death of Mike Connell—Karl Rove’s Election Thief
* 13. Katrina’s Hidden Race War
* 14. Congress Invested in Defense Contracts
* 15. World Bank’s Carbon Trade Fiasco
2010 Food Crisis for Dummies
The countries that make up two thirds of the world’s agricultural output are experiencing drought conditions.
The following article is HIGHLY recommended for anyone trading in the commodities futures markets or interested in possible future outcomes in 2010.
“If you read any economic, financial, or political analysis for 2010 that doesn’t mention the food shortage looming next year, throw it in the trash, as it is worthless. There is overwhelming, undeniable evidence that the world will run out of food next year. When this happens, the resulting triple digit food inflation will lead panicking central banks around the world to dump their foreign reserves to appreciate their currencies and lower the cost of food imports, causing the collapse of the dollar, the treasury market, derivative markets, and the global financial system. The US will experience economic disintegration.
So far the crisis has been driven by the slow and steady increase in defaults on mortgages and other loans. This is about to change. What will drive the financial crisis in 2010 will be panic about food supplies and the dollar’s plunging value. Things will start moving fast.”
Gold bounces off $1100
Gold has bounced off $1100, as expected, but the question is whether this level will hold. This is almost impossible to predict…what we do know is that gold is going much higher intermediate-term. Short-term, we could see pricing pressures on gold until we get a new leg down in the economic crisis and/or war in Central Asia. Things are heating up around the world, particularly in Yemen and Pakistan. Regardless, we expect a hard floor for the gold price in the range of $1000-1050. We will watch carefully for the next two business weeks leading into Jan 1st, as this will involve year-end mark-to-market for gold on many balance sheets so expect volatility. In terms of the next year (2010) we are expecting a dollar crisis so it would be wise to own gold under such circumstances.
Copenhagen Treaty yields start of Global Governance
The Copenhagen treaty was a success despite the massive scientific scandal; the global bankster-gangsters got precisely what they wanted. The objective was to establish the framework for a world government, which is often called ‘global governance’ in policy planning circles. The seeds of this were successfully planted. There were two main accomplishments at Copenhagen: 1) agreement on a global transaction tax on GDP, paid to the World Bank and 2) agreement on preliminary funding for global governance, conservatively $100bn by 2020 but we believe this number will be much much higher (probably in trillions).
“In 2004, it was less than $300 million. But in 2005, the trade really started to soar, ending the year with $10.8 billion-worth of transactions. A year later, in 2006, the “carbon” market had grown to $31 billion. In 2007, again it more than doubled its turnover, to $64 billion. Last year, it did it again, reaching a colossal $126 billion. By 2020, some estimates suggest the annual value will reach $2 trillion.”
“This is the biggest heist in history. As they poured carbon over snow-covered Denmark from their gas-guzzling jets, world leaders were congratulating themselves on securing a deal which will make their backers and financiers a trillion pounds a year. These riches will come from buying and selling permits, the so-called ‘carbon credits’ which allow industry and electricity generators in developed countries to emit carbon dioxide.
The frenzied negotiations we have just seen were never about ‘saving the planet’. They were always about money.”
Copenhagen accord keeps Big Carbon in business
“The part played at Copenhagen by all the tree-huggers, abetted by the BBC and their media allies, was to keep hysteria over warming at fever pitch while the politicians haggled over the real prize, to keep the Kyoto system in place.
The only tree they were concerned with hugging was the money tree and all the vast political apparatus that now supports it, allowing governments to tax and regulate us into handing over ever more of our money, largely without realising it, every time we drive a car, fly in a plane, pay our electricity bill or carry out any of a vast range of activities that involve the emission of CO2. ”
Saudis rain missiles down on Yemen
Saudi warplanes rain ’1,011 missiles’ on Yemen
“Houthi fighters say Saudi warplanes have fired some 1,011 missiles on the borderline with Yemen where the Shia population is already under heavy state-led and US-aided bombardment. “
US air raids kill 63 civilians in Yemen
“Yemen’s Houthi fighters say scores of civilians, including many children, have been killed in US air-raids in the southeast of the war-stricken Arab country.”
Pakistan on brink ; Obama feigns surprise
Internally displaced Pakistani women and children, aka alQueda
Pakistan continues to deteriorate, as we have been expected since the election of Obama. There is definitely a new war brewing in the region. The most likely conflict is either an event justifying going into Pakistan, or an event justifying going into Iran. In either case, doing so would land us in deep deep trouble, and would escalate into a regional war. Pakistan is a nuclear-armed country, with ballistic and cruise missiles, and Iran has advanced Russian weaponry. War in either country would be a big mistake with catastrophic consequences for the world, but our fearless leaders do not seem to care about the people of the world or their lives. Regardless, the CIA and ISI are doing an excellent job of destabilizing Pakistan, which seems to be the policy objectiive.
Pakistan political crisis deepens
“THE political crisis in Pakistan has deepened after the Government’s anti-corruption agency sought a warrant for the arrest of the country’s Interior Minister.”
Symptom of a Deeper Malady Pakistan’s Refugee Disaster
In the meantime, with the winter months fast approaching, hundreds of thousands of “unintegrated” refugees who do not find more durable shelter, even as military sweeps continue, could face exposure and starvation. Some aid groups are demanding that the United States pressure Pakistan to respect international humanitarian law and allow independent access to the refugees.
THIS WEEK IN MAYHEM
Not much happening this week due to the Christmas holiday. Tuesday brings us the GDP number and existing home sales, Wednesday is new home sales, and Thursday is durable goods orders and jobless claims. This week we are watching Yemen and Pakistan.
Have a great week and Merry Christmas
Project Mayhem Research (PMR) is a DC/Baltimore-based grassroots think tank dedicated to exposing corruption worldwide. PMR is affiliated with Zerohedge.com, a popular and growing anti-corruption site, through contribution of free articles for the public. Topics include the politics of war and weapons systems, unexpected applications of cybernetics, the growing international surveillance state, global warming ‘deindustrialization’ economics, broad systemic international corruption , in-depth policy analysis of studies from bank and military funded research groups, genetic analysis and surveillance of pandemic influenza, corruption in the international gold market, the power structure and history of the global elite, and analysis of their political objectives expressed through monopolistic international finance capital (read: powerful banks) between now and 2050.
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Woman Who Invented Credit Default Swaps is One of the Key Architects of Carbon Derivatives, Which Would Be at the Very CENTER of Cap and Trade
I have written hundreds of articles documenting that unregulated, speculative derivatives (especially credit default swaps) are a primary cause of the economic crisis.
And I have pointed out that (1) the giant banks will make a killing on carbon trading, (2) while the leading scientist
crusading against global warming says it won’t work, and (3) there is a
very high probability of massive fraud and insider trading in the
carbon trading markets.
Now, Bloomberg notes that the carbon trading scheme will be centered around derivatives:
banks are preparing to do with carbon what they’ve done before: design
and market derivatives contracts that will help client companies hedge
their price risk over the long term. They’re also ready to sell
carbon-related financial products to outside investors.
Masters says banks must be allowed to lead the way if a mandatory
carbon-trading system is going to help save the planet at the lowest
possible cost. And derivatives related to carbon must be part of the
mix, she says. Derivatives are securities whose value is derived from
the value of an underlying commodity — in this case, CO2 and other
Who is Blythe Masters?
She is the JP Morgan employee who invented credit
default swaps, and is now heading JPM’s carbon trading efforts. As
Bloomberg notes (this and all remaining quotes are from the
above-linked Bloomberg article):
Masters, 40, oversees the New York bank’s environmental businesses as the firm’s global head of commodities…
a young London banker in the early 1990s, Masters was part of
JPMorgan’s team developing ideas for transferring risk to third
parties. She went on to manage credit risk for JPMorgan’s investment
Among the credit derivatives that grew from the bank’s early efforts was the credit-default swap.
Some in congress are fighting against carbon derivatives:
are going to be cutting up carbon futures, and we’ll be in trouble,”
says Maria Cantwell, a Democratic senator from Washington state. “You
can’t stay ahead of the next tool they’re going to create.”
51, proposed in November that U.S. state governments be given the right
to ban unregulated financial products. “The derivatives market has done
so much damage to our economy and is nothing more than a
very-high-stakes casino — except that casinos have to abide by
regulations,” she wrote in a press release…
However, Congress may cave in to industry pressure to let carbon derivatives trade over-the-counter:
House cap-and-trade bill bans OTC derivatives, requiring that all
carbon trading be done on exchanges…The bankers say such a ban would
be a mistake…The banks and companies may get their way on carbon
derivatives in separate legislation now being worked out in Congress…
Financial experts are also opposed to cap and trade:
George Soros, the billionaire hedge fund operator, says money managers
would find ways to manipulate cap-and-trade markets. “The system can be
gamed,” Soros, 79, remarked at a London School of Economics seminar in
July. “That’s why financial types like me like it — because there are
Hedge fund manager Michael Masters,
founder of Masters Capital Management LLC, based in St. Croix, U.S.
Virgin Islands [and unrelated to Blythe Masters] says speculators will
end up controlling U.S. carbon prices, and their participation could
trigger the same type of boom-and-bust cycles that have buffeted other
The hedge fund manager says that banks will
attempt to inflate the carbon market by recruiting investors from hedge
funds and pension funds.
“Wall Street is going to
sell it as an investment product to people that have nothing to do with
carbon,” he says. “Then suddenly investment managers are dominating the
asset class, and nothing is related to actual supply and demand. We
have seen this movie before.”
Indeed, as I have previously pointed out, many environmentalists are opposed to cap and trade as well. For example:
Michelle Chan, a senior policy analyst in San Francisco for Friends of the Earth, isn’t convinced.
we really create a new $2 trillion market when we haven’t yet finished
the job of revamping and testing new financial regulation?” she asks.
Chan says that, given their recent history, the banks’ ability to turn
climate change into a new commodities market should be curbed…
we have just been woken up to in the credit crisis — to a jarring and
shocking degree — is what happens in the real world,” she says…
of the Earth’s Chan is working hard to prevent the banks from adding
carbon to their repertoire. She titled a March FOE report “Subprime
Carbon?” In testimony on Capitol Hill, she warned, “Wall Street won’t
just be brokering in plain carbon derivatives — they’ll get creative.”
they’ll get creative, and we have seen this movie before …an
inadequately-regulated carbon derivatives boom will destabilize the
economy and lead to another crash.
“If all human activity were to disappear tomorrow, the atmosphere wouldn’t even notice…”
Actually no, Obama won’t regulate oceans and forrests. Instead, he will try to chop a part of the 3% of CO2 production that is said to be produced by human activity (and absorbed by vegetation by the way). It is a scientific fact that all known greenhouse gases comprise only about 2% of our atmosphere (the majority of our atmosphere is oxygen and nitrogen). Out of all the greenhouse gases, water vapor is more than 90% of that 2%, while CO2 is is only about 3.6% of that. Out of all the CO2, 96% is produced naturally (oceans, forrests, etc), while only 3.4% is man-made. So mankind is responsible for only 3.4% of CO2, which is only 3.6% of greenhouse gases, which are only 3% of our atmosphere. So 3.4% of 3.6% of 2% is… well – not much. (.002% of CO2 and 0.28% overall)
Just so you know what a small percentage of our atmosphere is comprised of CO2, the compound is measured in units of parts per million! So if you gather 1 million people and pick out 385 of them, you have jack squat of the whole, and that jack squat represents the CO2 proportion.
Now keep in mind that detailed CO2 records have only been kept since — wait for it — 1999! All of 10 years! Such was admitted even by the state-run Obama AP (AP: The Earth Is Doomed Because CO2 Increased Greenhouse Gasses By 0.02% Or Something). Any small increases thus must be questioned on a much larger temporal scale where no detailed measurements exist and the data must be reconstructed indirectly. The AP in that article was in a tizzy because of an apparent increase of 2 parts per million! As a scientist, my first question would be one of accuracy. For one thing, every measurement has uncertainty. For instance, lets say you weight around 385 pounds and step on ascale that reads 385.2 lbs, then step on another scale. What would you guess the other scale would read. Very likely, it won’t be 385.2. It might be 384 or 386.1. Fact is, each scientific measurement has an uncertainty to it. Most scales are accurate to +-2 lbs. So if you step on it and it says 200, you could really weight 202 or 198 or somewhere in between. The AP, of course, doesn’t say a darned thing about the uncertainty, even though they claim a significant rise of just 2 out of 385 parts per million! Are such devices that accurate? And is the CO2 concentration uniform over the entire globe. And if not, how many measurements around the planet were taken to get an average? With those considerations, their number means nothing. Yet, they are being used in part to form damaging economic policy.
Be that as it may, Obama is set to unilaterally list CO2 as a danger to public health. Even though human influence is negligible in regards to atmospheric CO2. From teh Washington Post via memeorandum: Obama administration will formally declare danger of carbon emissions
The Obama administration will formally declare Monday that carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gas emissions pose a danger to the public’s health and welfare, a move that lays the groundwork for an economy-wide carbon cap even if Congress fails to enact climate legislation, sources familiar with the process said.
CO2 doesn’t pose a danger to the public’s health and welfare, it is rather government that does.
The move, which Environmental Protection Agency administrator Lisa P. Jackson will announce at an afternoon press conference, comes as the largest climate change conference in history gets underway in Copenhagen. It will finalize an initial “endangerment finding” by the government in April.
The endangerment finding stems from a 2007 Supreme Court decision in which the court ordered the EPA to determine whether greenhouse gases qualify as a pollutant under the Clean Air Act. It could trigger a series of federal regulations affecting polluters, from vehicles to coal-fired power plants.
And how may I ask will the government regulate nature that is responsible for 98% of greenhouse gasses and almost 97% of CO2???
“An endangerment finding from the EPA could result in a top-down command-and-control regime that will choke off growth by adding new mandates to virtually every major construction and renovation project,” Thomas Donohue, president and CEO of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, said in a statement. “The devil will be in the details, and we look forward to working with the government to ensure we don’t stifle our economic recovery.”
“This action poses a threat to every American family and business if it leads to regulation of greenhouse gases under the Clean Air Act. Such regulation would be intrusive, inefficient, and excessively costly,” said the American Petroleum Institute president Jack Gerard in a statement. …
Not to mention that it is based on garbage substituting for science. This whole endeavor is predicated on on a phenomenon, man-made global warming, that DOESN’T EXIST! CRU email leaks? Collusion? Scientific fraud? Hide the decline? Hello???