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Archive for the ‘Tax’ Category

Fixing The Tax Code

Let’s talk taxes.

Everyone says we need fundamental tax reform.

Ok.

I prefer The Fair Tax, but recognize that many others do not.

But what if we don’t want to do The Fair Tax?

Let’s look at a clean, progressive and simple tax instead.

We’ll use two basic metrics – the first is that the median household income is approximately $50,000.  The second is that the gross PCE (personal consumption expenditures) is, as of the present time, approximately $10,656 billion (that is, $10.7 trillion) and residential investment (that is, personal spend on residences) is approximately $330 billion, for a total of $11 trillion (out of our $15 trillion GDP.)

Therefore, let’s presume the following:

  • Three tax brackets: 10%, 20% and 30%.
  • NO deductions of any sort, and no “zero” bracket.  Everyone pays from dollar one.
  • NO other federal income taxes.  That is, payroll taxes are subsumed in these rates.  We quit pretending that FICA and Medicare are some sort of “lockbox” when in fact we know damn well they’re not.  FUTA and other “parasitic” federal taxes on employers and persons are also eliminated.
  • Long-term capital gains are only personal and at-risk investments held for three years, excluding carried interest or other “combined-risk management activities”.  These qualified capital gains are taxed at 50% of your marginal rate and accreates after ordinary income.  In other words, if your cash income puts you into the 30% bracket, all of your long-term capital gains are taxed at 15%.  All other income is taxed as ordinary income including carried interest.

Now let’s look at the BEA’s personal income tables.  They disclose that we have $8.23 trillion in employee salaries, $1.60 trillion in supplements (that is, the current payroll taxes), $1.11 trillion in proprietor’s income, $397 billion in rental income and $2.345 trillion in transfer receipts (payments from government social insuance payments – all of which are taxable since we exempt nothing.)

This totals $13.68 trillion in money and transfer receipts.  The remainder ($1.8 trillion) is receipts on assets – that is, capital gains.  I’ll presume that half of that would qualify for long-term treatment (which is probably way, way too high – today – but won’t be in the future with these changes.)

Unfortunately Census and the BEA only has quintiles through 2009.  It is what it is, but we’ll use what we can get.

We count 121 million approximate household units according to Census.  Unfortunately Census only accounts for money income – they claim (as of 2009) $7.596 trillion in total!  That’s crap, so let’s fix it – we’ll bump all categories by 64% (to account for the difference as of 2009 BEA GDP tables), since we’re taxing all income with no deductions of any sort (including Social Security and similar transfer payments.)

We will break the tax percentages as follows:

  • First and second quintile (through $35,598) are taxed at the first rate (10%)
  • Third and fourth quintile (through $93,784) are taxed at the second rate (20%)
  • The top quintile pays 30%.

All are marginal rates and quintile breakpoints will be adjusted annually.

Note that since all other federal payroll and similar taxes are eliminated those in the first two quintiles pay less than what they pay today in payroll taxes alone, but there are no refundable credits.  That is, everyone pays something, most-specifically for those social programs everyone thinks they’re “entitled” to.  In addition, the progressive nature of the tax code is retained and for most people through the bottom three quintiles they will pay less.  The exception is those who are getting a “free ride” from refundable credits – they will pay something, but only to the extent that their “free ride” ends, and in fact their burden will not exceed that which would be paid only in payroll taxes alone.

So the first bracket earns $238 billion and the second $657 billion, for a combined $895 billion (adjusted $1,467 billion).  They will pay $147 billion in income tax.

The second bracket earns $2,887 billion (adjusted $4,735 billion).  There are 48,376 such households; on the first $1.722 trillion they will pay $172 billion in income tax, and on the remainder ($3,013 billion) they will pay $603 billion, for a total of $775 billion.

The third bracket makes a lot of money.  There are 24,196 such households.  They earn on average $157,631, for a total $3,808 billion (adjusted $6,244 billion).  On the first $861 billion they will pay $86 billion in tax, on the next $58,186 in income (or $1.41 trillion) they will pay $282 billion in tax and on the remainder ($3,973 trillion) they will pay $1,192 billion in tax, for a total of $1,560 billion.  That’s a shitload of tax; on a per-household basis they pay four times the “middle income” people’s burden and ten times the bottom two quintile’s burden.  If this isn’t progressive enough for you then you need to replace your brain with one that actually works.

Oh yeah, this totals $2,482 billion in taxes on incomes.

If we assume that most of the $1.8 trillion in returns on assets goes to the top marginal rate, and half is accountable as long-term capital gain, then we have ($900 billion * 15%) + ($900 billion * 30%) = $135 + $300 billion, or another $435 billion.

We thus have $2.917 trillion in tax revenue.

Oh, this understates the revenue, since according to BEA the numbers are somewhat better than this today, but we’re using 2009 figures.  If you want to be entirely accurate you can add about 10-15% to those numbers, but I like being conservative and recognize that we have an economic adjustment to take – so I won’t.

There are no taxes on corporations under this flat tax and no deductions of any sort.  Your tax return fits on one sheet of paper, except for stock trades and such where you must show basis and acquisition date.  The Internal Revenue Code fits within a dozen pages of legislative-laid-out text.

The Federal budget, as of 2005, was supportable in full at this level of revenue complete with our current interest payment requirements and a a hundred billion or so of actual debt retirement.  Since the goal is to actually retire debt we will drop spending to 2003 federal spending levels, which totaled $2.160 trillion, effective this September.

As the debt is retired (it will take 20 years) we can advance spending by the amount of the interest on the retired debt.  You now fix Health Care using the formula I’ve previously put forward, and index Social Security over five years to the actuarial improvement in life from the inception date of Social Security to today.

Problem solved.

You want a monster economic recovery?

ENACT THIS WASHINGTON OR SHUT THE FUCK UP AS FAILURE TO BOTH FIX REVENUE AND SPENDING ON THIS MODEL MAKES CLEAR YOU HAVE NO INTENTION OF ACTUALLY FIXING ANYTHING.

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Buy A GM Car? You're Voting for $6/gal Gas

 

General Motors Chairman and CEO Dan Akerson, right, gives a closer look of the Buick Verano to congressmen Sander Levin, D-Royal Oak, left; Steny Hoyer, D-Md.; and Gary Peters, D-Bloomfield Township, at January’s North American International Auto Show in Detroit. (John F. Martin / GM)

Really.  GM’s CEO wants a $1/gallon gasoline tax

“You know what I’d rather have them do — this will make my Republican friends puke — as gas is going to go down here now, we ought to just slap a 50-cent or a dollar tax on a gallon of gas,” Akerson said.

Still want to buy a GM car eh?

Just remember folks, when you buy goods and services you are voting with your wallet for the positions that the company is lobbying for at the government level.

GM WANTS YOU TO PAY BETWEEN $5-6/GALLON FOR GASOLINE.

Go ahead folks – buy that nice GM car… and slit your own throat.

The Market-Ticker

You’re also voting to allow GM into public schools to sell this idea to children:  GM Is Using Public Schools To Sell Cars….To 3rd Graders  Exactly how much fascism are you going to support?

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16 Obama taxes that will hit you on January 1, 2011

January will bring the biggest attacks on your family budget in your lifetime and they are coming through Obama’s taxes, the largest tax increase in American history. These taxes will crash down on your family and small businesses on New Year’s Day January 1, 2011. You will be forced to pay for the wealth redistribution programs shoved down on throats by Obama and his Marxist Congress.

There are no “maybes” at all in this list, none! EVERYTHING that follows will happen!

· Top personal income tax rates will go up from 35% to 39.6%

·The lowest rate will go up to 15% from 10% and all the steps in between will rise as well: the 25% bracket will rise to 28%, 28% to go to 31%; 33% goes to 35% and 35% to 39.6%.

·There WILL be a marriage penalty. There will be narrower tax brackets that will mean more taxes for married people.

·The STANDARD DEDUCTION for married couples will no longer be double the deduction for a single person.

·THE CHILD TAX CREDIT will be cut in half from $1000 to $500 per child.

·Dependent care and adoption tax credits are going to be cut.

The DEATH TAX which was ended by the Republicans is back. If you die on January 1, 2011 or after the top rate of taxation will be 55% on estates over a million dollars. If you don’t think that includes you, check the value of your home and other taxable properties. If you have a second home and a retirement annuity, a $1 million estate is NOT out of the question.

The CAPITAL GAINS TAX will rise from 15% to 20%. Sell your house and a few shares of stock and see how hard you get hit. The rate on dividends will rise from 15% to 39.6%! In 2013 that rate will rise another 3.8%!

AGAIN, REMEMBER ALL OF THIS WILL HAPPEN, THERE ARE NO “MAYBES”

Many of the taxes that WILL happen because of the passage of OBAMACARE, WILL hit us on January 1, 2011.

HEALTH CARE SAVINGS PLANS are out, over! Health reimbursements to purchase over the counter medicines are out.

IF YOU HAVE A “SPECIAL NEEDS CHILD” you are in for a big hit.

The Democrats cruelty toward special needs children is manifest in their imposed cap of $2,500 per child on Flexible Spending Accounts (FSAs). This dishonestly tiny limit will cost families of Downs’ Syndrome sufferers thousands of dollars a year just to keep the level of treatment their child is already receiving.

The tax penalty for Health Savings Account early withdrawals will increase from 10% to 20%.

FAMILIES WHO NEVER WERE HIT WITH THE ALTERNATIVE MINIMUM TAX (AMT) will be hit on January 1, 2011. TWENTY FOUR MILLION more families will have to pay the AMT. Because Congress refused to index the AMT these families will have to figure their taxes at a higher rate.

Small business expense deductions WILL be slashed. Depreciation of purchased equipment will drop by 90% from $250,000 to $25,000 IMMEDIATELY!

DEDUCTIONS FOR TUITION ARE OVER and TAX CREDITS for education are now limited. This will include employer provided educational programs.

THERE WILL BE NO MORE TAX ADVANTAGES FOR CHARITABLE CONTRIBUTIONS FROM IRAs. Currently retirees can contribute up to $100,000 a year directly to charities and receive a tax benefit. THAT’S OVER NOW!

These taxes were shoved down our throats by the Democrats. Not a single Republican voted for any of them. Remember that on November 2. It won’t stop all of these taxes but the only way to roll them back is to vote REPUBLICAN and get others to vote REPUBLICAN.

For more details on Obama’s tax attacks on your family go to:
http://www.atr.org/sixmonths.html?content=5171

Collins Report

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Easy to Avoid Paying Income Tax

 

By Joel S. Hirschhorn

 Would you choose being wealthy and paying income tax or making little enough to escape income tax?  Americans have a far greater chance of being in the latter group.

 Sometimes there are statistics that you really need to meditate on for awhile.  They open the door to critical thinking about American society.  They shed light on a host of hot political and public policy issues.  This is especially true for rich versus poor issues, taxes, justice and equality.  First, note the number of households in the United States: now at 115 million, which equates to an average of 2.6 people per household.

 Now, think for a few moments and guess the answers to this question: What fraction of households have assets of $1 million or more and what fraction will pay no federal income tax for 2009?

 Take a moment, think seriously about what these two fractions might be.  To have net assets of $1 million or more certainly signifies people at the top of the economic ladder, but is a far greater number than the superrich, because a million bucks is not what it used to be.  A lot of ordinary people seeing themselves as middle class, but making good incomes and probably older, even with lower house values, can have wealth at this level. 

 And to pay no federal income tax certainly covers people at the bottom of the economic spectrum, but not necessarily just the very poor.  They too may see themselves as middle class or, for some, the working poor.  For example, for 2009, a family of four with two children under 17 could have made $50,000 and escaped paying any federal income tax because of various tax credits and other benefits.  Many two income households could avoid paying federal income tax, because of low but rather typical salaries.

 Here are the answers to the above question.  Households with $1 million or more in net assets number just 7.8 million or 6.8 percent of the national total.  Households that will pay no federal income tax for 2009 number 54 million or 47 percent of the national total.

 Thus, there are about seven times as many households paying no federal income tax, nearly half the nation’s households, than having $1 million or more in assets.

 If a high income rather than assets is considered, then note that about 16 percent of households have annual incomes of $100,000 or more.  This means that a lot of households with pretty high incomes have not accumulated the wealth level of $1 million in assets.  Households with incomes of $250,000 or more, however, number just under 2 percent of the nation’s total.  This is the group that will see higher taxes from the new health care reform legislation and now pays about half of all taxes.  This group equates to about 2.3 million households and 6 million people that really are rich in terms of both wealth (assets) and income.  These people can afford to pay more taxes because they have benefitted disproportionately from past tax cuts and probably are not hurting much in this recession.

 All these numbers shed some light on the considerable economic inequality that has gotten steadily worse in recent years.  Yes, the rich have become richer, the poor poorer, and the middle class devastated, probably worse than ever, because the current Great Recession for millions of people is really just as bad as the Great Depression – financially and psychologically.  Over the past 30 years the lowest income people are actually making less now, after adjusting for inflation, and CEOs at the largest companies went from making 35 times to over 300 times more than their average workers.

 Take away the no income tax and high asset households and you have about 46 percent left or 53 million households with about 138 million Americans.  This is a better view of the shrinking, at-risk middle class, households trying to survive in a cruel society with high economic insecurity.  These people should be more worried about sinking into the lower class, no income tax paying group, than dreaming about rising up into the wealthy high tax paying class.  The bitter truth is that upward economic mobility has largely become a myth, like the American dream, more like winning the lottery than a reasonable expectation from working hard.

 Maybe all this explains why there are so many angry, anti-government Americans attracted to the tea party movement, and firmly entrenched independents fed up with both major political parties because they more serve corporate rather than public interests.   With an enormous national debt, high unemployment that will not go away, and increasing number of people losing homes and needing free food things are likely to stay bad or get worse for a lot of people.

 Dwell on this: Do you really think that voting in different Democrats or Republicans will return the nation to a healthier condition?   And this: Does having a positive attitude about the future require delusional thinking, or heavy drug use to avoid thinking about it?

 [Contact Joel S. Hirschhorn through delusionaldemocracy.com.]

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Don't Believe The Obamabot Liars

 

Don’t Believe The Obamabot Liars

Posted by Karl Denninger

They’re out in force trying to defend the indefensible:

These cost savings are real. They will grow over time. And they will make U.S. businesses more competitive.

….

The bill President Obama signed into law last week helps avoid each of these equally unappealing options.

I understand that in these difficult economic times, the potential for any additional expense is not welcomed by American businesses. But in the long run, the health insurance reform law promises to cut health-care costs for U.S. businesses, not expand them.

In a word:

Let’s take a look at why we have a problem – we’ll look at the largest contributors to the mess, not the “little things.”

We will start with cost shifting.

This is one of the primary causes of health care “inflation” – in short, those who pay cover those who don’t have any money.  The new law attempts to address this by forcing everyone to have insurance in some form or another.  Or does it?  In fact no, it does not.

Assuming that the mandate passes constitutional muster (and I don’t think it will) the problems remain.  Specifically, illegal invaders still get emergency (including “planned emergencies” like childbirth) care at no cost to them – ever – and you get the bill.

But the cost-shifting doesn’t stop there.  The worst part of the cost-shifting is in the medical device and pharmaceutical business.  Other nations slap cost controls on pharmaceuticals, saying to the companies that they will pay “$X” for some device or medication – and if the drug company does not agree to sell for “$X” then the nation threatens to either not buy at all or break their patents and reproduce the drug or device within their borders, giving the company nothing.

The problem of course is that most pharmaceuticals and many devices have a cost structure that is more than a bit skewed.  That is, the first pill may cost $1 billion – in development and testing expenses.  Many drugs are “dry holes”; the company spends but the drug proves ineffective or even dangerous, and thus the money is lost. 

Subsequent pills may cost $2 each to manufacture – once that first billion is spent.

Obviously, the drug companies must amortize that billion dollar development expense over the projected life and sales cycle for the drug.  If they fail to do so they go out of business.

Everyone in the world who has access to that drug gets the benefit of the development.  We in The United States get to pay the entire cost, because it is only here that we do not price-control drugs and threaten manufacturers with patent breaks if they don’t price “as we like it.”

This is responsible for most of the drug and device price inflation we have experienced – we are literally paying for the development of new treatments for more than 6.8 billion people yet there are only 330 million of us in the United States.  That is, we bear twenty times our “fair share” of those development costs.

Medicare Part “D” is projected to be the fastest-growing deficit-generator; this should not surprise, given the gross and outrageously unfair means by which we literally absorb the entirety of worldwide drug development expense.

All of this, by the way, occurs due to government.  Were government to refuse to protect those companies with laws that preempt the ordinary (and reasonable) presumption that a person who owns a thing may dispose of it as they see fit, cross-border trade flows would put tremendous pressure on these price disparities.  Prices would fall here (a lot) and rise everywhere else (a good bit.)  While the price-leveling would not be perfect by any means this much is certain – it is impossible for us to control the parabolic rise in drug expense when we’re bearing the burden of development for nearly 7 billion people on the backs of 330 million Americans.

We also cost-shift when it comes to illegal invaders.  There is no agreement on exactly how many billions these illegals cost-shift to legal American citizens and residents – but that it amounts to tens of billions of dollars annually is not in dispute.  There is no particular reason to allow that to occur – we could just as easily pass a law providing that hospitals and other emergency care providers send their bills for anyone with no insurance or money to the Federal Government, who then pays the bills immediately.  The government then either turns the matter over to the IRS for collection (if a US Citizen or Resident) or bills it back to the foreign nation in the case of an illegal invader.  This instantly stops all the cost-shifting for both the uninsured and the illegal invaders, and costs the government nothing!

There are many other factors in the health care cost explosion (with the disconnect in visibility between cost and your actual visibility of that expense being a big one) but until we get the cost shifting under control all other debates about how we’re going to “control costs” are a waste of time.

I wrote a four-point plan in September of last year that would have actually addressed costs by going after all of the major components that drive medical price ramps.  It was faxed to all 535 fools in DC.  It is particularly telling that not one of those points was addressed in the bill proffered and passed, proving that cost containment was never a goal of this legislation – instead, it was designed and executed to suit the lobbying interests who are simply trying to claw even more of your money into their pockets.

Wake up America – you’re being robbed – again – by both the Demoncrats and Rethuglicans.

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Health Care: Huge (53%) Tax Increase On SAVERS

Huge (53%) Tax Increase On SAVERS

Posted by Karl Denninger

If you were wondering where the hidden taxes are in “Health Reform”, guess what – President Obama has just given you something to sit on.

The forced march to pass ObamaCare continues, and all that matters now is raw politics. But opponents should go down swinging, and that means exposing such policy debacles as President Obama’s 11th-hour decision to apply the 2.9% Medicare payroll tax to “unearned income.”

That’s what savings and investment income are called in Washington, and this destructive tax wasn’t in either the House or Senate bills, though it may now become law with almost no scrutiny.

This is unbelievably destructive to capital formation.

For the person who is “short-term trading” (e.g. daytrading, etc) this is a relatively small tax, an increase of about 7% in the tax (2.9% applied to the 39.6% maximum rate on “ordinary income”, which short-term capital gains are.)

But for the person who is INVESTING for the long haul, that is, who is holding stocks for more than one year, this takes the marginal rate from 15% to 17.9%, an increase of almost 20% in the tax owed.

This, of course, comes on the back of President Obama’s fraudulently engineered “rally”, which was created through Congressional intervention to permit – surprise surprise – legalized accounting fraud through “mark to model.”

So you got your stock market rally, and now President Obama and The Democrats are going to cram a 20% tax increase down your throat if you profited from it - and at this point, being 2010, there’s not a thing you can do about it.

It gets better.  Since ordinary investors can only write off $3,000 in capital losses, when you lose you don’t get a tax credit.  Oh yeah, you get to carry forward the loss to future years, but you paid the tax on the gains already – this is a putative future credit back.

Oh, and let’s not forget that there was already a huge tax increase coming this year - the long term capital gains rate goes to 20% at the end of this year anyway as the Bush tax cuts expire.

So in fact the rate goes from 15% to 22.9%, a fifty-three percent increase in the tax rate.

And oh, if your AGI goes over $200,000 by even a dollar you are subject to this tax from the first dollar of your investment income.

A fifty-three percent increase in taxes on long-term (that is, capital-forming, long-term investment) capital gains – exactly the sort of investment activity you want to form businesses and invest for the long haul in America’s future, not to mention generating jobs by forming those enterprises.

That’s slammed the door on any interest I might have in forming a new business as I did in the 1990s – ever – and I suspect I’m not alone.

When this goes into effect my capital, other than that which I can shelter from taxation, is no longer going to be put at risk in the markets. I’d rather live in a nice little cottage on the beach and simply expend what I have rather than contributing to capital formation in any way, shape or form under a punitive system like this.

Why?

Because if Congress demonstrates that it will put 53% on the capital gains rate once I’ve already committed my capital (thereby destroying my return) I will not take the risk of them doing it again and making the rate even more punitive.

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